Am I the only one who thinks Gvozdyk will beat Benavidez?

Damn I didn’t realise Gvozdyk was 37 I thought he was like early-mid 30s.

That definitely drops his odds in my mind, though he looked pretty good against Bolotniks and in his last fight

 

If Gvozdyk has anything left in the tank he will put a hole through Benavidez. The key being IF. Gvozdyk used to be tremendous. Not sure how he's looking lately.

 

Don't agree with that, but okay

 

You’re not alone. The only thing that concerns me is how close to his best form he actually. No doubt he’ll be putting everything into this training camp though.

 

When these kinds of match-up happens, we always think that the old veteran can pull off a win against a talent fighter in his prime. In the majority of the cases, prime fighter usually wins. They keyword here is "prime".

I think Benevidez is going to win this comfortably. Gvozdyk is too old and too inactive. And let's not forget that beating he took from Beterbiev. While he has shown signs of his prime in the last few fights, they're against low level competition.

He's no longer the same fighter who fought against Stevenson or Beterbiev. He will likely put up a valiant effort, but he's not going to win the fight.

 

Would it really be a big upset? I wouldn't be surprised if Gvozdyk wins. What are the odds at the moment?

 

We're talking three more rounds than Plant won on the cards to get a majority decision. That doesn't sound like much of a stretch to me. The question is of course how much he has left, but if he's anything close to what he was Benavidez has his job cut out for him.

 

last time i saw gvodzyk, he looked shot to me. don't remember what fight it was, but that was the impression i got from seeing him. if that guy shows up, david is going to brutally stop him.

 

Would be very exciting if Gvozdyk got the W, but I think he's too old unfortunately.

And even though Benavidez hasn't fought at LHW he HAS fought at over 190lbs before. He's big even for LHW let alone SMW. Prime Gvozdyk was better P4P than the best we've seen of Benavidez but not SO much better that I'd favour him even with the decline.

 

Close UD for Benevidez

 

@CST80

I'm forming my opinion on Bolotniks only on how he looked against the Nail. And he looked like ****. He fought with no apparent world class talent or any self-belief. He did not give a good account of himself at all and Gvozdyk hardly broke a sweat.

If you want to argue that Bolotniks is a world class fighter whom the Nail simply made to look very poor, okay. I just don't agree. For an old fighter who was out for several years after an announced retirement, I don't think an opponent like that has prepared him well for Benavidez. He hasn't been more than 6 rounds since 2019.

For his part, Benavidez is much younger and was not out for 3.5 years. He has been fighting in main events against champion level guys, altho I agree with you that the jump to 175 is interesting. Right now I'm seeing Benavidez at -650 which even I think is too high. But he's rightfully the favorite.

 

The Nail is coming to spoil the party.

 

Yep and in recent times Teddy hasn't been making outlandish predictions he is good at reading fights and has been on the money on his podcast in recent years. In the past he has picked against his former charges but this time he is quietly confident that Gvozdyk will get the job done. I will be having a bet on the Nail for sure.