My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

In a MD, he has the good counter punching style to mess GGG's rhythm up.

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

Geale gets knocked by golovkin in 6

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

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Geale is chanceless against Golovkin. He does not have a small chance - he has no chance whatsoever.

Why? He holds no advantage in any section of a boxers arsenal. I base the analysis on the Sturm-Geale and the Golovkin-Proksa fights. Both fights are on Youtube - go and have a look.

Sturm-Geale
Geale walks forward, seemingly preferring to do battle on the inside with Sturm. Sturm has seemingly few objections to this. While Sturm seems to be the stronger man, landing the more accurate and significant shots, Geale is more active (+better footwork). This largely sums up the fight over the whole 12 rounds.

Golovkin-Proksa
Golovkin walks forward trying to cut the ring. Proksa circles and potshots. It soon becomes apparent that he does not move well enough to avoid Golovkin’s jab or left hook, and later, the right. Proksa’s attacks does not at any point hurt Golovkin, and after round two his potshotting does not even cause Golovkin to blink. As Golovkin ups the pace in round three and onwards the fight turns into real beating.

The unfair comparison
Proksa retired Sebastian Sylvester in three rounds while Geale had to go 12 rounds to a split decision. Accordingly Golovkin will win easily over Geale. Not a fair comparison I would say. What happened? Sylvester had a major hole in his defense that only a Proksa-Martinez type of fighter could exploit. He keeps his guard up with both gloves really high while hunching forward. Proksa prefers to have his gloves around his waist to hide his angle of attack. The result was that while they are in the zone, Sylvester simply could not see Proksa’s gloves. Just dig out your old gloves from the closet and try it yourself! Sylvester fought blind, became totally demoralised and retired after three rounds.

The fair comparison
Geale walks forward a bit square without any final side-step or feint as he enters his opponents zone. This will be a major issue against Golovkin as he will not have any defensive advantage based on movement. Also, not possessing a fast, long or powerful jab means that he will have to take what Golovkin can dish out as he comes in. Based on what Geale did against Sturm, Geale will step on the gas and swarm Golovkin, Ouma used this to some effect in the early rounds of his fight against Triple-G. Big difference - Ouma was quick on his feet, Geale is not. This makes a Geale-Golovkin fight a slugging match between an active volume puncher with little power (52% KO ratio, several SD wins) and an active power puncher with 88% KO ratio and not an SD in sight. If Geale really tries he can stem the tide by swarming, but eventually he will tire and the outcome of this fight is not even remotely in doubt. The worst thing is that Geale has a decent chin, but hopefully the referee will save him before he is hospitalised like Ouma.

There is no disrespect for Geale in preferring the Mundine fight.

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

Nice breakdown Karaganda :good

Still it's possible, and honestly not that far fetched cause we've seen it happen multiple times in the past.

But I expect Geale won't see the later rounds against the "triple god"

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

The one big, glaring issue that everyone who clearly favors Golovkin decisively needs to understand- Geale is so much better than anyone Golovkin has fought, not just a little better than some or way better than most, Geale is significantly way better than all of them. So, there is always the chance that Golovkin has already peaked (31 years old in April), in combination with the fact that the strength of his skillset cannot properly be judged at the elite level, which Geale is at, amongst any footage of his pro career.

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

Can't see Geale fighting Golovkin myself. Think him fighting Martinez is more realistic.

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

What chance is there for a Geale-Golovkin fight in 2013? I must admit I think the chance is 10% or less. Geale is an HBO-unknown and would take a huge risk. Much smarter to stay in Australia and fight the locals.

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

I do agree.

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

geale has quicker hands, better footwork and better defense then golovkin. golovkin has alot more power and a better chin. geale has enough on his plate with mundine, in his next fight.

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

Well that's not a very scientific, now is it?

Golo actually fought better fighters in the amateurs, different ballgame sure, but he demolished them with a very similar style, so the pro ring is not much different for him. And let's not overlook his resume, Ouma and Proksa would most likely give Geale a tough fight, so if you think GGG's not quite experienced at the top, you're very wrong. Not that such experience is necessary - nobody beat a top fighter until they beat one. :lol:

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

No

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

Difficult fight to call.

I would have GGG a slight favorite, but Geale is a huge talent.

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

Huck has a better chance of beating a Klitschko than Geale beating GGG

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

GGG by late stoppage methinks. Geale could make things difficult early on but there's a reason nobody wants to face Golovkin.

Re: My prediction 2013: Geale defeats Golovkin
 

Huck has zero chance.