Oh god, Lirva starts a similar thread to me
I think my reasons for giving Mosley a strong chance were a bit better than his though. For one, unless you've neglected to watch Mosley's last 3 fights, you'd see his hand speed has all but gone.
Fancying him in this one on the basis of that is foolish I'd say. However, I do think Alvarez sets up nicely stylistically for Sugar. A prime Mosley would demolish him IMO, this version should lose such has been his decline but I don't know I've got a feeling he'll do it.