Re: Pacquiao - Marquez 4 Analysis/Possible Outcomes
It's a double-edge sword. If he tries to counterpunch and box, he neglects his offense and actually gives JMM an easier time; as evident by their last fight which incidentally was the clearest win and the only one in which the JMM robbery claims are valid. And if he tries to be the aggressor, he provides JMM more opportunities to counter like you've said.
I have JMM the favourite for precisely the above reasons. His style matches up better and with that he’s been able to create the better formula. As hard as this is to admit, Pac has only matched JMM the way he has because of his physical gifts. Now that they’ve faded slightly and he’s being forced to use his bare skill-set -- which is/was never on par with JMM’s -- the dynamics of the fights have changed in favour of JMM.