East Side MMA
East Side Guru
Join Date: Feb 2006
Re: JDS v Velasquez II
Expertsí Predictions for UFC 155
Junior dos Santos and Cain Velasquez pose during their weigh-in before their title showdown at UFC 155. Jake Roth/ US Presswire
Junior dos Santos vs. Cain Velasquez
WAGENHEIM: Can Junior make quick work of Cain, as he did last time? He certainly can. He has the power, the speed and, most important, the confidence. But Iím envisioning something different from Velasquez this time. I think heíll fight smarter while the tussle is standing, and heíll use his explosiveness to test Dos Santosí takedown defense. The bout will go to the ground at some point, as I see it, and Juniorís jiu-jitsu will wither in the face of Cainís ground-and-pound ferocity. Velasquez by TKO.
HUNT: A rematch Iím really looking forward to, seeing as both were hurt in their first meeting. I think Velasquez will take the champ down, but wonít be able to keep him there long enough to get the job done. Dos Santos by TKO.
DOYLE: Can Velasquez take dos Santos down and keep him there? Sounds simple, but sometimes thereís no need to take it any deeper. This fight will go longer than the first, but will have a similar finish. Dos Santos by TKO.
Joe Lauzon vs. Jim Miller
WAGENHEIM: This is an easy one: My prediction is that one or both men will go home with pockets stuffed with extra cash. Iím talking bonuses. Lauzon wins Fight of the Night or Submission of the Night practically every time he steps into the cage, and Miller is all action, no nonsense. This is an excellent matchup that will be decided, I believe, by the rougher road Miller has taken to get here. This is just another in a long line of tests for him, and I think heíll work his way to a passing gradeÖ with honors. Miller by decision.
HUNT: The wrestler in Miller wonít be able to help himself taking this one to the ground, where Lauzon will get his chance to shine. Lauzon by submission.
DOYLE: A lot riding on this fight for both lightweights. The veteran Miller is looking to shake off a bad loss to Nate Diaz. For Lauzon, this is make-or-break for his championship aspirations. Iíll go with ďmake.Ē Lauzon by submission.
Tim Boetsch vs. Costa Philippou
WAGENHEIM: Stepping in for his injured training partner, Chris Weidman, might be the right opportunity for Philippou. Or maybe heís biting off more than he can chew. Boetsch has been lurking in the shadows of the top contenders in the middleweight division for a while, and heís out to put on a performance that gets him noticed. Boetsch by decision.
HUNT: Philippou seems just a little less experienced with top-shelf opposition to handle Boetschís trickier stand-up. Boetsch by TKO.
DOYLE: Both guys are capable of exciting fights, both are capable of snoozefests. Which version of either fighter will show up? Bottom line, this is a huge step in competition for Phillipou. Boetsch by decision.
Yushin Okami vs. Alan Belcher
WAGENHEIM: For this rematch of both menís UFC debuts (won by Okami), Belcher has something bigger than vengeance in his sights. He wants what Okami already has had: a shot at the 185-pound belt. Although Belcher is not at the head of the line at this point, beating Okami would push him forward. Belcher by submission.
HUNT: It pains me to say it, but Iím starting to think Okamiís ship has sailed. Heís been a solid addition to the UFC roster; he is one of the few Japanese fighters to make an impact here, which should be noted. However, Belcher has youth, speed, and, dare I say, power on his side for this one. Belcher by decision.
DOYLE: Conventional wisdom says Belcher should keep this standing and avoid Okamiís wrestling. Conventional wisdom said something similar about Belcherís May fight with submission artist Rousimar Palhares, and Belcher won that won on the ground. Belcher by decision.
Chris Leben vs. Derek Brunson
WAGENHEIM: There are two predictions to be made here. For one, which man will win this fight, but also which Chris Leben will show up to fight it. The ups and downs of ďThe CripplerĒ are well documented, and heís still part of the UFC picture because he seems to always rise up when weíre ready to write him off. Leben by TKO.
HUNT: Brunson, a last-minute import from the disassembling Strikeforce promotion, is coming off two losses (one of them to the very talented Jacare Souza), but I think he has enough control not to get into a messy shootout with Leben, whoís choppy striking is pretty predictable. Brunson by decision.
DOYLE: Lebenís best bet is for the knockout; Brunsonís is to take Leben down and smother him. Lebenís a well-liked, returning veteran, but sentiment doesnít get you far in this sport. Brunson by decision.