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Old 01-02-2013, 10:04 AM   #67
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Default Re: Am I the only one who thinks Guerrero has a good chance?

Originally Posted by RingKing View Post
Well, I don't remember FMJ teeing off on Ortiz when he was in close. What he was doing was using the shoulder roll or holding. Ortiz was the one who was throwing while in close and trying to land on FMJ.
Didn't realise you were talking about on the inside/against the ropes. Even against the ropes at times, Mayweather was using Ortiz's jab to land his own shots, but yeah, for the majority of the time, Ortiz was intent he was going to land on Mayweathers head.

Guerrero may not be as fast as Ortiz, but he appears to be miles ahead of him as far as mental toughness goes. He also appears willing to grind out a rough and tumble affair for 12 rounds instead of trying to KO a fighter in 5 rounds. His chin may be better than Ortiz', and that is either going to help him in the fight or lead him to take a drubbing for 12 rounds. Guerrero's power seems to be a notch or two below Ortiz', but again, being a southpaw it might allow him to surprise FMJ with a punch here and there.
I do agree with this.

Guerrero >>>>>>> Ortiz - in most areas.

The main advantage Ortiz had though was size, this was why he was able to back Mayweather so easily. Mayweather was still in control most of the time, even when it looked like Ortiz was backing off, he was backing off because he couldn't break through the defense, so had to reset and rethink.

I'm just of the opinion that Guerrero might be able to replicate Hatton's fight against FMJ with a little more success since he may be a little longer and stronger than Hatton. I think he is young enough and durable enough to make it slightly entertaining. At the very least, I'm hoping he is able to push FMJ a little more than what other fighters have been able to do recently.
The main reason Hatton had success was his footspeed, this troubled Mayweather more than any punch thrown. Having said that, Mayweathers footspeed has deteriorated, so Guerrero could try closing that distance quickly using feints, and switching from body to head quickly. Bogo's thread points out some interesting factors that could come in to play if you want to check that out.
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