02-01-2013, 02:24 PM
East Side Guru
Join Date: Mar 2012
Re: British Forum BETTING thread
Originally Posted by brickfists
Yeah most likely but you never know.
This weeks ufc bets, picks & analysis
Ian McCall 2/1 over Joe Benavidez.
Two of the best flyweights in the world going at it here, both coming off losses to the champ mighty mouse johnson. McCall did the better in his two fights, earning a draw in the first and losing a close decision in the second while Benavidez got badly down for 25 minutes in his title shot.
Both guys are good wrestlers with decent submission skills which should negate each other and turn this fight into a striking contest. In this area McCall has the advantage as the more diverse striker who likes to mix it up with kicks, knees & punches. He can also fight at range using speed of foot to dart in and out of exchanges or fight on the inside utilizing the thai clinch or pressing his opponent against the cage to use some dirty boxing. Benavidez always has that equalizer in his big right hand but he tends to get trigger happy which costs him activity and points.
At 2/1 McCall is some of the best value to be had on the entire card.
Damian Maia 13/8 over Jon Fitch.
Two top welterweights vying for a possible title shot. Both are ground specialists with mediocre standup, Fitch the wrestler, Maia the BJJ ace so this will definitely be fought on the mat. On recent form Fitch has had a bad two years, since drawing with BJ Penn in feb 11 he took a near year long layoff and returned by being knocked out by Johnny Hendricks last January. He bounced back by decisioning highly touted but untested Erick Silva.
Maia on the other hand was a top 5 Middleweight whose dropped down to welter and breathed new life into his career winning his first two bouts at 170 by submision. Its a tough one to call but going by recent form, size & the odds I'll take Maia but if your not sure stay away.
Edit, Francisco Rivera by KO over Edwin Figueroa when the odd are released.
Not going to bother analyzing these as there all straight forward favs who will win without problem.
Aldo, Overeem & Evans 11/10
Volkmann, Woodley 1/1
Hail Mary Accy.
Aldo, Overeem, Evans, Maia, McCall, Woodley, Volkmann, Figueroa 47/1
nice i think ill do the accys and the hail mary accy looks temptin haha whats the chances of it winnin its worth a tenner