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| vBookie Event: Hernandez vs. Porpramook II (Boxing) |
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#3 | |
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Nash Equilibrium Debunker
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Quote:
However, he had all those things last time. Some say it was the sweltering heat that got to him last time. ("some" being largely Mexican fans...) Some say it was the little guy's investment in working the body. ("some" here meaning Thai fans...)
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#4 |
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ᴻᴼ ᴸᴼᴻᴳᴲᴿ ᴲ۷ᴵᴸ
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Rocky lost his first match against Creed too
![]() By the way it was a broken pinky toe, wrong socks and a upset tummy last time. And his opponent smelled bad too. I have that from a very relyable source (true story)
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#5 |
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Champion
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Their first fight was a war and legit '11 FOTY candidate. One can only hope the same here...
I'm torn. I'm a Hernandez fan for sure, but Porpramook pretty decisively handled him. It's not as though Hernandez was in control then gassed, he gassed because Porpramook was in the pocket the whole fight winging body hooks that clearly indicated the result to anyone who was watching live without a bias or previous knowledge of the fighters' resume/capabilities. That said, I think homefield advantage will play a huge role, from Thailand to Mexico. Plus, Porpramook deserved a TD Draw with "little heralded" Taconing, who got the better of Porpramook in their abreviated fight. I'll go all in, 300, on Hernandez. |
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#6 | |
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Good To The Last Punch
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Quote:
A lot of this depends on whether The Confessor is able to stay on the outside, instead of waging war in the trenches like he did the last time around. He's got the ability to do so, but his demeanor tends to compel him to go to war the moment a fighter like Porpramook begins to bring the heat. And I think Kompayak's going to bring the heat again. His career trajectory suggests someone who fights to the perceived level of his opponent. He knows Hernandez is a dangerous mofo, because he spent close to ten round in heated conflict with the guy. I think he'll be coming out with the intent of proving that the first fight wasn't a fluke; and if you combine that motivation with Confessor's temperament, you stand a good chance of getting the same result. So, I'm going the other way, though I'm not confident enough in my pick to go all in. |
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#7 |
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Belt holder
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It's ironic that in MOST rematches, it seems the guy who won by KO last time is the underdog.
Always a good value bet. I think there's a huge mental disadvantage that no one considers when someone is facing the same guy that KO'd them. |
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#8 | |
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Nash Equilibrium Debunker
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For instance, had Chavez stopped Martinez in the 12th he would rightfully be a betting underdog again in the rematch. |
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#9 |
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Belt holder
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Really looking forward to this one.
First time round, Hernandez boxed well using his range to fire off some nice uppercuts early on, but then around the middle rounds started to force Kompayak to the ropes and opened up. He started to miss more, lost some of the snap from his punches and got more and more tired. Kompayak invested in the body from the very first round, with real clubbing punches too, so that no doubt helped to wear Hernandez down. I just don't think Hernandez will be so stupid second time around. Kompayak will have his moments but Hernandez will stay in the pocket less, use his feet and jab more. It will still be a decent scrap, but I'm going for Hernandez in a relatively clear but competitive points win. |
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