British Forum BETTING thread

[|A|C|S|]

Originally Posted by domjon

did pretty much the same mate ignored the 16/1 outright about round 8ish and had a fiver on the ko @66s

Sturms fights are always so close on the cards the ko was just dumb, the fuckin odds got me excited, i feel depressed lol

[domjon]

Originally Posted by |A|C|S|

Sturms fights are always so close on the cards the ko was just dumb, the fuckin odds got me excited, i feel depressed lol

not worth worrying about mate , never going to get rich backing the away fighter in germany who's already been on the canvas. Sturm didn't look like he wanted to be in there second half of the fight

[|A|C|S|]

Originally Posted by domjon

not worth worrying about mate , never going to get rich backing the away fighter in germany who's already been on the canvas. Sturm didn't look like he wanted to be in there second half of the fight

haha, yeah he was doin jackshit Soliman is kind of awkward tho
i feel like ive been robbed of money i dunno why i put it on ko this shit is gonna bug me

[tmsbry]

Originally Posted by Dennison

A Rugby League tip here.....
Wigan V Salford first game of the season the handicap is -20 Wigan, I expect this to increase soon, the Salford coach has come out and said that they will have to mainly play youngsters as they're in financial trouble (had to cancel friendlies recently and play in an old kit), Wigan are big point scorers can easily see them putting 40+ past Salford and I doubt very much Salford will score 20 points

Thanks Dennison, followed you on this

[|A|C|S|]

too many bets missed today Soliman to win and Molina decision

[Dennison]

Originally Posted by tmsbry

Thanks Dennison, followed you on this

Good work warrington play castleford at home on sunday and they have a -20 handicap too, castleford finished in the bottom 4 last season and Warrington top 3. Hull fc played them in a pre season friendly and castle ford scored one try. It's definitely worth putting in a double to add value

[cutthroat22]

Wales -2 or Ireland +2? I think Wales have lost there last 7 but I don't know much about rugby

[RoughD]

kell brook is 13/8 at the moment...is this likely to go up or down when the fight gets closer? im thinking of lumping on kell

[Dennison]

Originally Posted by cutthroat22

Wales -2 or Ireland +2? I think Wales have lost there last 7 but I don't know much about rugby

It's very tough choice and could go either way and depend on whether your lucky on the day, personally though I'd go Ireland +2. Wales have lost to Samoa and Argentina who Wales should be beating especially at home in the last 4 months, however then they nearly beat Australia (last minute try won it for Australia). I'd put +2 Ireland in a double or even an Ireland win

EDIT: went Ireland win at 11/10, their winning 17-0

[Dennison]

Originally Posted by RoughD

kell brook is 13/8 at the moment...is this likely to go up or down when the fight gets closer? im thinking of lumping on kell

I wouldn't lump due to the chances of a tight decision going to Alexander or even a robbery, but Kell's odds seem to be drifting as he was 5/4

[Dennison]

Skybet are offering odds of 13/8 for no yellow card in this game!? (4/9 for a yellow card), surely those odds are crazy?

[cutthroat22]

Was gonna go for Ireland but couldn't get to a tv so didn't bother

[Dennison]

Originally Posted by cutthroat22

Was gonna go for Ireland but couldn't get to a tv so didn't bother

there winning 30-3

[brickfists]

Originally Posted by Markyboy86

Brickfists, you not think Edgar coming down and Aldo struggling to make weight lately makes Edgar a bit of value? I can see a bit of value in the 10/1 Edgar ko, purely a hunch and a nice looking price on my part.

Not really mate, Edgar should of been a feather his whole career but opted to fight at 155 to give himself an edge in speed & movement (His main attributes) at 145 those advantages go away, Yes he'll be lighter so in theory should be faster but i don't think his sped will be anything Aldo hasn't seen before. Its his first time making a weight cut and its a 5 round fight so we don't know how that will affect.

Aldo doesn't really have weight issues, he struggled the last time because he was on heavy antibiotics recovering from a bad staph infection which seriously fucked up his cut. My only worry with Aldo is how he deals with the year long layoff.

Style wise this is a terrible matchup for Edgar. He's not a finish first fighter he's a point fighter who uses speed & movement to dart in and out of exchanges mixing up striking with takedowns to score points, there's a few problems with that.

(1) He's never ever going to outstrike Aldo, he doesn't have the tools.

(2) Aldo has the best takedown defense in the ufc bar none, he's stopped 52 out of 55 takedown attempts so Edgar will have a nightmare getting him down. even if he does manage to get him down a few times, he wont keep him down because he never does, he's not a lay n pray or ground n pound guy, he gets takedowns to score points not to get a dominant position and hold it.

(3) Aldo's the best leg kicker around, once he lands a couple Edgar's main tool of movement will go away and he'll be a sitting duck.

There's only one way i see this fight playing out. Edgar starts fast and has some success early while Aldo shakes off a bit of ring rust, once he does that and starts landing those leg kicks Edgar will slow down and get the living shit beat out him for the remainder of the fight. I don't think Aldo will stop him because Edgar can take it like no one else but he'll leave him looking a lot worse than Henderson did.

I think the 2/1 Aldo decision is a nice price. but that's just my analysis if you have a hunch on an Edgar KO don't let me or any one else talk you out of it

[leo_messi]

Originally Posted by leo_messi

Ireland +2
England -15
France -9

6/1

All down to France. Surely they can better Italy by 10 points or more?