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Old 02-01-2013, 09:17 PM   #18601
tmsbry
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Originally Posted by Dennison View Post
A Rugby League tip here.....
Wigan V Salford first game of the season the handicap is -20 Wigan, I expect this to increase soon, the Salford coach has come out and said that they will have to mainly play youngsters as they're in financial trouble (had to cancel friendlies recently and play in an old kit), Wigan are big point scorers can easily see them putting 40+ past Salford and I doubt very much Salford will score 20 points


Thanks Dennison, followed you on this
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Old 02-01-2013, 11:48 PM   #18602
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too many bets missed today Soliman to win and Molina decision
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Old 02-02-2013, 03:48 AM   #18603
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Thanks Dennison, followed you on this
Good work warrington play castleford at home on sunday and they have a -20 handicap too, castleford finished in the bottom 4 last season and Warrington top 3. Hull fc played them in a pre season friendly and castle ford scored one try. It's definitely worth putting in a double to add value
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Old 02-02-2013, 05:54 AM   #18604
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Wales -2 or Ireland +2? I think Wales have lost there last 7 but I don't know much about rugby
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Old 02-02-2013, 08:00 AM   #18605
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kell brook is 13/8 at the moment...is this likely to go up or down when the fight gets closer? im thinking of lumping on kell
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Old 02-02-2013, 08:01 AM   #18606
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Wales -2 or Ireland +2? I think Wales have lost there last 7 but I don't know much about rugby
It's very tough choice and could go either way and depend on whether your lucky on the day, personally though I'd go Ireland +2. Wales have lost to Samoa and Argentina who Wales should be beating especially at home in the last 4 months, however then they nearly beat Australia (last minute try won it for Australia). I'd put +2 Ireland in a double or even an Ireland win

EDIT: went Ireland win at 11/10, their winning 17-0

Last edited by Dennison; 02-02-2013 at 09:01 AM.
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Old 02-02-2013, 08:02 AM   #18607
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kell brook is 13/8 at the moment...is this likely to go up or down when the fight gets closer? im thinking of lumping on kell
I wouldn't lump due to the chances of a tight decision going to Alexander or even a robbery, but Kell's odds seem to be drifting as he was 5/4
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Old 02-02-2013, 08:05 AM   #18608
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Skybet are offering odds of 13/8 for no yellow card in this game!? (4/9 for a yellow card), surely those odds are crazy?
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Old 02-02-2013, 09:12 AM   #18609
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Was gonna go for Ireland but couldn't get to a tv so didn't bother
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Old 02-02-2013, 09:39 AM   #18610
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Was gonna go for Ireland but couldn't get to a tv so didn't bother
there winning 30-3
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Old 02-02-2013, 10:43 AM   #18611
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Brickfists, you not think Edgar coming down and Aldo struggling to make weight lately makes Edgar a bit of value? I can see a bit of value in the 10/1 Edgar ko, purely a hunch and a nice looking price on my part.
Not really mate, Edgar should of been a feather his whole career but opted to fight at 155 to give himself an edge in speed & movement (His main attributes) at 145 those advantages go away, Yes he'll be lighter so in theory should be faster but i don't think his sped will be anything Aldo hasn't seen before. Its his first time making a weight cut and its a 5 round fight so we don't know how that will affect.

Aldo doesn't really have weight issues, he struggled the last time because he was on heavy antibiotics recovering from a bad staph infection which seriously ****ed up his cut. My only worry with Aldo is how he deals with the year long layoff.

Style wise this is a terrible matchup for Edgar. He's not a finish first fighter he's a point fighter who uses speed & movement to dart in and out of exchanges mixing up striking with takedowns to score points, there's a few problems with that.

(1) He's never ever going to outstrike Aldo, he doesn't have the tools.

(2) Aldo has the best takedown defense in the ufc bar none, he's stopped 52 out of 55 takedown attempts so Edgar will have a nightmare getting him down. even if he does manage to get him down a few times, he wont keep him down because he never does, he's not a lay n pray or ground n pound guy, he gets takedowns to score points not to get a dominant position and hold it.

(3) Aldo's the best leg kicker around, once he lands a couple Edgar's main tool of movement will go away and he'll be a sitting duck.

There's only one way i see this fight playing out. Edgar starts fast and has some success early while Aldo shakes off a bit of ring rust, once he does that and starts landing those leg kicks Edgar will slow down and get the living **** beat out him for the remainder of the fight. I don't think Aldo will stop him because Edgar can take it like no one else but he'll leave him looking a lot worse than Henderson did.

I think the 2/1 Aldo decision is a nice price. but that's just my ****ysis if you have a hunch on an Edgar KO don't let me or any one else talk you out of it
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Old 02-02-2013, 01:33 PM   #18612
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Ireland +2
England -15
France -9

6/1
All down to France. Surely they can better Italy by 10 points or more?
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Old 02-02-2013, 04:39 PM   #18613
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will this Woodley guy win because he brings the accy to some nice odds but i dont wanna risk it if its not 100%
To be honest mate he's the only one who could lose so I've done a Heiron single to cover

Also did Rivera, Edwards, Tibau treble & Aldo decision both around 2/1

****ing loads of bets on tonight, if half of them come in im up big money
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Old 02-02-2013, 06:17 PM   #18614
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So whats the main ufc tip tonight boys fancy a bet to wake up did that 7/2 treble last week so many thanks
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Old 02-02-2013, 06:40 PM   #18615
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So whats the main ufc tip tonight boys fancy a bet to wake up did that 7/2 treble last week so many thanks
Evans, Overeem, & Aldo pts, slightly over 3/1 and a lock in my estimation
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