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Old 05-28-2010, 04:21 PM   #4531
Beeston Brawler
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Default Re: British Forum BETTING thread

I'd leave the cricket alone.

Like you say the pitch is absolutely dead. They aren't getting anywhere near England's total, but they will probably pass the follow on and with weather around...... not a good bet IMO.

They need to sort these pitches out, just nothing for bowlers at all.
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Old 05-28-2010, 04:36 PM   #4532
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Jump on the draw at 6/4 then?
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Old 05-28-2010, 04:37 PM   #4533
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Originally Posted by TheGeezer View Post
I don't play much anymore but William Hill is good.

Expect much more loose passive play than 'live' games - your bluffs will get called often and so are of little value but loose opponents offer other advantages but you will need the cards as you will keep getting called

Matthew Hilger wrote a good book about online poker - i have it somewhere - can't remember the title

I used to play nightly - Fri & Sat night after the pubs close is a good idea!!

Either I have got worse or other people have got better but winning is harder work than it was so I play less now - I was paying for holidays with it 5 or 6 years ago but it is a grind now and not much fun
I had this experience. I realized within a few hands everybody was fairly tight with the hands they'd play and at least 2 people would call a bet 3x the big blind post-flop with marginal hands like J-9 if they limped in position. There are a lot of calling stations so the bluff is redundant. There is nothing worse than semi-bluffing with a decentish hand you probably figure is best but aren't sure, only to get called, and for them to fluke a hand on the river. That really sets me on tilt so I avoid bluffing at all.

I figure a tight aggressive game beats micro stakes, just regular ABC poker, fold when you're probably beat and raise with a decent hand and know your odds and you win. Problem is it takes so long to get anywhere so I'm going to try higher stakes next and see what happens.
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Old 05-28-2010, 04:38 PM   #4534
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Leave it all together I'd suggest or atleast wait until the start of play tomorrow if you are going to bet. You don't want to be guessing with the weather.
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Old 05-28-2010, 05:30 PM   #4535
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Default Re: British Forum BETTING thread

really enjoying live betting at the minute, won some on ireland tonight, is the andrade fight gonna be shown on anything later? is it a start time of 1am uk time?
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Old 05-28-2010, 05:40 PM   #4536
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really enjoying live betting at the minute, won some on ireland tonight, is the andrade fight gonna be shown on anything later? is it a start time of 1am uk time?
it says 2pm on espn on my tv but i think theyll be showing the lakers - suns game instead
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Old 05-28-2010, 06:25 PM   #4537
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ah right I just saw it on the ladbrokes site and it says 1am but will probably change. if anyone can confirm a time that would be good, I don't even know where the fight is being held so have no idea other than the 1am i read and 2am you've said, I'll watch aslong as it's not a 3am start.
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Old 05-28-2010, 06:34 PM   #4538
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Originally Posted by craigseventy View Post
ah right I just saw it on the ladbrokes site and it says 1am but will probably change. if anyone can confirm a time that would be good, I don't even know where the fight is being held so have no idea other than the 1am i read and 2am you've said, I'll watch aslong as it's not a 3am start.
It's 2am on BET365, too,
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Old 05-28-2010, 06:36 PM   #4539
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Default Re: British Forum BETTING thread

Andrade by stoppage looks quite good, no? Against a guy thats fought once in the last 3-4 years against a can?

Only 10rds though which always puts me off.
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Old 05-28-2010, 06:39 PM   #4540
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Originally Posted by TFFP View Post
I had this experience. I realized within a few hands everybody was fairly tight with the hands they'd play and at least 2 people would call a bet 3x the big blind post-flop with marginal hands like J-9 if they limped in position. There are a lot of calling stations so the bluff is redundant. There is nothing worse than semi-bluffing with a decentish hand you probably figure is best but aren't sure, only to get called, and for them to fluke a hand on the river. That really sets me on tilt so I avoid bluffing at all.

I figure a tight aggressive game beats micro stakes, just regular ABC poker, fold when you're probably beat and raise with a decent hand and know your odds and you win. Problem is it takes so long to get anywhere so I'm going to try higher stakes next and see what happens.
It is a grind at low stakes to make it worthwhile but at high stakes the players are much better! I'm not that good that i'll win enough to just play just for profit - i need to be enjoying it too and i don't enjoy playing online. I do OK at heads-up but that is NO fun, but profitable. Good luck.

Last edited by TheGeezer; 05-28-2010 at 06:40 PM. Reason: buffoonery
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Old 05-28-2010, 08:06 PM   #4541
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Default Re: British Forum BETTING thread

any tips for the tennis tonight
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Old 05-28-2010, 08:12 PM   #4542
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Default Re: British Forum BETTING thread

Berdych over Murray 11/8

Should be evens IMO the way they're playing, Tomas has the game to overpower Murray on clay.

Soderling 4/9 over Cilic

Soderling is good on clay.

Can't see any other reasonable prices.
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Old 05-28-2010, 09:30 PM   #4543
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Berdych over Murray 11/8

Should be evens IMO the way they're playing, Tomas has the game to overpower Murray on clay.

Soderling 4/9 over Cilic

Soderling is good on clay.

Can't see any other reasonable prices.

Berdych good to back then lay. Never will he be evens though pre match haha. Soderling Cillic will be a yawn fest both big servers but cillic can be broken while soderling looks awesome this week.
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Old 05-28-2010, 09:31 PM   #4544
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Default Re: British Forum BETTING thread

Also Roddick and youzhny to beat troicki
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Old 05-28-2010, 09:33 PM   #4545
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Berdych good to back then lay. Never will he be evens though pre match haha. Soderling Cillic will be a yawn fest both big servers but cillic can be broken while soderling looks awesome this week.
I know he won't be evens, I just personally think it is about evens or maybe even a slight edge to Tomas. Not that he's best on clay either but he's not as defensive as Murray and he's hitting the ball well. Murray needs to stop being a wimp and hit the ball or else he won't go much further.
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