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Old 06-12-2012, 11:26 AM   #1
ahcef
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Default STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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Old 06-12-2012, 11:38 AM   #2
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

cool. i love stuff like this.
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:42 AM   #3
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

Makes sense. Just from Round 5 and 8 alone the chances of two judges scoring both those rounds for Bradley is about the same odds 2500-1.
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:42 AM   #4
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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Old 06-12-2012, 11:43 AM   #5
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

Bang! Bang! Bang!
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:45 AM   #6
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

Bullshit.
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:45 AM   #7
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

Yet people win the lottery!
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:47 AM   #8
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

Good work
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:48 AM   #9
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:49 AM   #10
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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Mike Jones loss was pretty statistically impossible too
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:52 AM   #11
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible


But like he said, it depends on multiple factors that he couldn't include in the actual calculation.

We've seen here that about 90% scored it for Pac, 5% a draw and 5% for Bradley.
If you take away 50% from the Bradley pickers that were essentially trolling you keep about 2.5% who actualy think he won, or are such a big Timmy fan or hate Pac that much they couldn't come up with a realistic score.

That's about as much as the actual press who scored it for Bradley.

So you can say the chance of Bradley winning outright was about 1 to 40 x2 (2 judges) = 1 to 80, not counting in the possibilty of corruption.
(that's far from 1 to 3300)
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:53 AM   #12
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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Old 06-12-2012, 11:54 AM   #13
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

Statistical fact: 98% of stats are bullshit.
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:58 AM   #14
Robney
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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Originally Posted by IntentionalButt View Post
Statistical fact: 98% of stats are bullshit.
That means this statement has only 2% chance of being true!
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Old 06-12-2012, 11:58 AM   #15
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

What I found interesting was his suggestion of increasing the number of judges. Not only would that fix incompetent judging, but if you were to try and pay off 4 judges (double the number needed to get a normal decision) it would look TOO obvious. Beyond ridiculous. I mean if boxing wanted to truly sink itself into the grave, it would be like a jury convicting a clearly innocent man. It would be too messy and too many tracks to cover.

I very much enjoy this idea and support it. An even better addition would be to have them seated at different areas around the ring.
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