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Old 06-12-2012, 11:58 AM   #16
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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Old 06-12-2012, 11:59 AM   #17
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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English really isn't a hard language to learn.
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Old 06-12-2012, 12:00 PM   #18
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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Boxing apparently has a history of controversial decisions. Thereís a simple way to fix this: Use more judges. While itís not feasible to use seven judges in all fights, itís doable for title fights given the money they generate, and it would greatly reduce the chance of a bad decision. I simulated a million cases using seven judges, and none had Bradley winning on at least four of the cards. (In the three-judge simulation, Bradley was favored by at least two judges in 492 cases.)

If boxing wanted fair decisions more often, they would increase the number of judges. Sure, this would make Michael Bufferís job more difficult at the end of the fight, but I think itís a worthy trade in order to reward the better fighter more often. However, given the amount of publicity the sport gets for controversial decisions, this isnít in its best interest. Fewer people would have been talking about the Pacquiao decision on Sunday and Monday had the proper decision occurred, and I definitely wouldnít have written about it.
Agree with that statement.
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Old 06-12-2012, 12:02 PM   #19
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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that sums up my night right there.
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Old 06-12-2012, 12:02 PM   #20
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

I agree that there should be more judges. Less split decision, less draw. More expensive to bribe the outcome. Additionally, scores should be submitted each round to make doctoring the scorecard difficult.
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Old 06-12-2012, 12:11 PM   #21
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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That means this statement has only 2% chance of being true!


You can still get fat if you sit around drinking 2% milk all day, can't you?
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Old 06-12-2012, 12:17 PM   #22
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

i love how stats mean nothing, but thats all thats talked about when 2 guys fights
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Old 06-12-2012, 12:19 PM   #23
Robney
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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You can still get fat if you sit around drinking 2% milk all day, can't you?

Funny thing is, if that 2 percen( of my reaction is right, that also means your statement is true. Only not plausable.
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Old 06-12-2012, 12:24 PM   #24
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

I can give a **** less what this means stats of those who have an opinion who cares.

Lets see Round by Round Punch stats, not final stats but round by round.

This was no Robbery the 1st three and the last three went to Tim, even if you scored one round even in the middle you still have a Bradley win
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Old 06-12-2012, 12:43 PM   #25
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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This is an amazingly clear .gif image, I wonder how it was made so well.
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Old 06-12-2012, 12:43 PM   #26
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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Statistical fact: 98% of stats are bullshit.
lmao
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Old 06-12-2012, 01:28 PM   #27
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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But like he said, it depends on multiple factors that he couldn't include in the actual calculation.

We've seen here that about 90% scored it for Pac, 5% a draw and 5% for Bradley.
If you take away 50% from the Bradley pickers that were essentially trolling you keep about 2.5% who actualy think he won, or are such a big Timmy fan or hate Pac that much they couldn't come up with a realistic score.

That's about as much as the actual press who scored it for Bradley.

So you can say the chance of Bradley winning outright was about 1 to 40 x2 (2 judges) = 1 to 80, not counting in the possibilty of corruption.
(that's far from 1 to 3300)
So why were the odds in Vegas 3 to 1?
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Old 06-12-2012, 01:33 PM   #28
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

very cool
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Old 06-12-2012, 01:43 PM   #29
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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Old 06-12-2012, 01:44 PM   #30
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Default Re: STATS GURU: Pacquiao's Loss Was Almost Statistically Impossible

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Originally Posted by Bazooka View Post
I can give a **** less what this means stats of those who have an opinion who cares.

Lets see Round by Round Punch stats, not final stats but round by round.

This was no Robbery the 1st three and the last three went to Tim, even if you scored one round even in the middle you still have a Bradley win
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1 in 93 respectabe boxing writers agree with you too

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