that line was 96 hours ago. here in mexico, ortiz is now +350 pbf -600. if the ts got in at +500, he will be able to hedge at even money by tommorow night.
The line in the US was 6-1 until midnight it went to +535 on Ortiz -770 Floyd. I haven't seen one person in the media pick Ortiz and hardly anybody here will come out and predict Ortiz. Somebody is dumping money on Ortiz cause the book I play with that line move is significant.
not really. i had margo at +600 against paq six weeks before the fight and it went down to as low as +180 the night of the fight. this was here in mexico. another book had margo at +230 fight night. mexican money is loyal money. expect the same with jmm. by fight night, here in mexico, jmm will be about a +200 and he started at +500. paq will go off at about -275/300 www.caliente.com.mx/
You should bet overseas and get better odds on Mexican fighters But I like Caliente because you can bet in person. Went there a few times years ago. my book 5dimes has JMM +550 I would take Ortiz all day long at 5-1 or higher. I put in 75% of my wagers on Ortiz. Doing rounds tomorrow.
wow, thats big. i think this fight is more of what pbf has(or has not) lost in the last three years of not fighting competitively(steroid-tested mosely and overweight jmm obviously do not count as being competitive). one thing for certain is that ortiz is prime and coming to fight. i will probably take the over. if the pbf of hatton/hoya shows up i dont give ortiz much of a chance of winning. dont know where you're at but you can also open a caliente account here in mexico. i live in mexico and still have an online accountwith them. its so much easier to bet. good luck with your play.
waiting for the pac line to drop to -250/300. ten unit fight for me, maybe 20. jmm didnt look very good against both casamayor and katsidis and i think that manny is a completely different fighter now that in 2008.
:think If that is all you had in the bank, then yeah it was pretty stupid. If you had $600 to play around with well don't give up the ship yet, but what the hell were you thinking??? LOL!!! Hell you could of put it on the Atlanta Falcons + 3 1/2 against Vick and the Eagles. Matt Ryan has a 90+% winning record at the Dome. :smoke