25% and that's being generous. Unless Pac really is in decline I honestly can't see him losing this. Bradley is a level below.
I actually failed to consider 1 key issue: Decision I don't think Bradley will be winning a decision. If he wins quite clearly, say 8-4 or 9-3, I reckon he'll get plain robbed. If someone of Marquez's popularity can be deprived of (in my opinion) a clear victory, then Bradley really does have no chance, especially with him being another one of Arum's fighters, Arum himself might as well be scoring the fight. Additionally, Bradley doesn't really have the necessary KO power. Initially, I was leaning towards a 30% chance of victory, I reckon it's more like 20%...
Bradley is a 3-to-1 (+300) underdog, ergo, implied probability is 25%. Tough, considering Bradley will be fighting four people that night. Even the great Marquez, who was an 8-to-1 underdog against Poochiao, couldn't walk away with a decision. So, I'm not sure how much respect Bradley will get from the judges. I guess the numbers themselves are superfluous, until the real question is answered: Will it be a fair fight?
20% or less, he will probably make it competitive but, the ref will not let him use his head as usual since pac is the star or the show, he has no punching power to ko pac and he can't get a decision against pac
50% chance. It's pretty simple really. Bradley has the BIGGEST advantage and that is his Clottey-like brick hard dome. How he chooses to use it, is up to him. If he gets in there and gets the cut he needs, he will win, especially if it is a cut over the eye that bothers Pacquaio. If you notice, in the fights where Pacquaio cuts, it's where he does poorly since the sight of his blood seems to make him **** his trunks and he goes wild out of desperation. If Bradley decides to be nice and not use his head, he loses and wastes his own time since Manny will not respect his punching power and will look to rip through Timmy.
He did fought at welter against Carlos Abregu, he came in at 147, 2 more lbs than pac has ever weigh in for a fight.
I voted 30% He isn't as smart as Marquez and doesn't hit hard enough to stop Pac, so what can he really do? I am sure the fight will be entertaining but I don't think he is going to look too good in it.
With all due respect, neither had Pacman before going on his run against DLH, Hatton, Cotto, etc., etc. Bradley can definitely win.
10-15%. I really don't see how he wins unless Pacquiao has declined even more, gets severe cramps, AND gets a nasty cut from a headbutt. Otherwise, I see Pac KOing him or winning a wide decision.
Bradley is going to bring it. I voted 30-40% chance he wins. He knows how to fight his fight and stick to the game-plan. He can box patiently and work the inside hurting Pacquiao with body shots. I guarentee Pacquiao struggles and looks average yet again. Its about time he steps up and fights a live dog. I gave him props for beating Cotto and fighting Marquez again but he barely squeaked by him. Taking on The Desert Storm i gotta give props