How does Froch beat Bute?

I think Bute is naively underestimating the nottingham factor here. He says it won't affect him. It probably will. Gonna be a near pro Froch crowd. He is used to having nearly 16-18,000 canadian fans going ballistic at every punch he throws. It gives him a confidence and swagger. And remember Froch has only been soundly beaten beaten by a guy who will probably be p4p number 1 before too long. This is Bute's step up, not Froch's.

 

They also give him responsibility and obligation to put on a great show maybe even end it by Ko so they receive what they payed for. I'll say he'll be more relaxed and once he steps the right would surprise me if he's affected by the roar of the crowd, normally once he stepped there he should be focused on the fight itself, the opponent who stands before him and the indications he gets from his corner.

 

Froch needs to box.

If he starts trading or tries to make it a brawl he'll most likely come second.

 

Froch will probably try to box, work behind the jab and stay at range like he's done since the Abraham win. It won't work for him, I don't think, and I honestly don't believe he suits that style. It did work a treat against Abraham, but that's because Arthur is fairly easy to push back, keep at range and pepper with straights from a distance. I think the ease he had against Abraham has kind of duped Froch into thinking this style will work against every opponent, but it won't IMO. It kind of nullifies Froch's strength, which is one of his best qualities. He's weak on the back foot, he doesn't have the athletic ability to box and move, and that hurt him against Johnson and Ward. I mean, he was never gonna beat Ward, but he could have beaten Johnson so much comfortably if he's came at him and outworked him, like he did vs Pascal.

I think Froch would be better to incorporate that style against Bute. Activity, crowding his opponent whilst throwing hard digs. I doubt he will though, he'll try to jab and fight on the back foot but it won't work and he'll likely get dominated.

 

Rounds 1-3 - shock/dirty tactics: go wild, loads of pressure, rabbit-punches, hit on the break, etc. - look for the early KO: Bute takes a few rounds to get his bearing and this being unfamiliar surroundings and a hostile crowd, Bute will be nervous. Could backfire badly leading to Bute KOing Froch "by accident", early, though. However, worth taking the chance because Bute takes a few rounds to get going and he's not taking chances early on.

Rounds 4-10 - box smart, yeah, like he did against Abraham and Ward. Very likely to be outboxed by Bute, though

Rounds 11-12 - if the fight is close, continue boxing smartly and look to survive 12 rounds or KO Bute late, if in the books. If Froch is behind a lot, go for the KO if he has enough to survive, or look to survive if Bute is going in for the kill.

The way I see it:

Froch early T/KO: 10% chance
Froch close UD: 15% chance
Froch late T/KO: 5% chance
Bute early T/KO: 15% chance
Bute close UD: 15% chance
Bute wide UD: 25% chance
Bute late T/KO: 15% chance

Slight chance of a draw. Of course, there's also the robbery, if it's close.

P.S. Froch has to fight long. He won't be able to go to the body with Bute, because of styles. Pressure in the mid-late rounds would lead to Froch being KOed/

 

If Froch can drag Lucian into a brawl late on then he has a chance, Bute really can't handle a war IMO, just look at the first Andrade fight.

 

Anywhere else in the world and that fight would have been stopped midway through the last round.

 

Bit of a contradiction there old **** :thumbsup

 

''So and so CLEARLY won that fight 114-113''

 

What, without Bute, then champion who was winning a very wide decision even being dropped? Don't think so. Unless you mean a Calzaghe vs. Manfredo style stoppage,... and those mostly take place here, but it wasn't like that, was it?

 

Not really. Say Bute gets knocked down twice in the first round and twice in the second and then wins every other round clearly. Correct score:

10-7 twice, total Bute points = 114
Total Froch points = 110

it's close, but Bute has won clearly. If Froch gets the nod, it's a robbery.

 

Calzaghe vs Manfredo

Bute was being smacked around the ring for the entire round and didn't have a ****ing clue where he was. He did well to actually get up, he was spent, but the referee should have stepped in before that.

And stepped in after the count, as he was clearly not in a position to continue.

He was a shocking official anyway, trying his best to get in between them all through that last round. Andrade nearly had to rugby tackle him out of the way at one point to get his punches off.

 

:deal

 

Your ******ed.

 

If you really want to express a view that's worth taking into account, you'd do well to read the rules and watch the final round closely, with an eye on the clock.

Here's a good comprehensive article:

http://www.eastsideboxing.com/news.php?p=17659&more=1

:good