If the rounds end up being close, they can go to Ward. My biggest concern isn't the weight loss, but his mental capacity to be able to handle Ward. Despite winning he struggled against Hopkins, if Dawson looked better against Hopkins, I think the odds would be in his favor. Dawson has to be physically and mentally 100% if he wants to win. Dawson may end up looking faster and stronger at 168, who knows.
A strong sceanario is chad doing more than enough but getting jobbed by the judges, the oakland "officials" are even worse than the vegas ones, if thats possible, chad needs a stopage to win
He voted for the draw, so he's definitely been consistent in his view that it will be close. :thumbsup
If Dawson comes into this thinking he can fight defensively or with no sense of urgency, ala the Pascal fight, he'll probably lose a wide decision. If he is able to stay active and still keep Ward on the outside, and not allow him inside to rough him up, he has a pretty good shot iMO. Ward clearly has the mental edge here and always seems to be able to impose his will on fights, so I still think he wins. I think somewheres in the 115-113, 116-112 range, but the official cards will probably come in at 118-110 or so. Seems to be the running trend.
:good This I find quite strange: This content is protected :blood This thread is nearly as old as the Khan vs. Garcia one (a month instead of six weeks) and yet it has nine times as many posts, eleven times as many views, and twice as many people have voted in the poll. You'd think Khan vs. Garcia was of astronomical significance compared to this...when nothing could be further from the truth. :huh This is the more competitive on paper, and honestly I think it will be a good fight. People avoiding discussion of it beyond "yawn! not interested! :nut" are probably unfairly writing it off due to the past reputations of Ward and Dawson when really this style match-up could be more fun than they realize. Dawson is the bigger man coming down, he is very confident in his chances else he wouldn't have done so, he'll think he can bully Ward. Even if he doesn't come forward and show more consistent aggression than he did at LHW, Ward's activity rate won't allow him to sit comfortably back and pot shot with low output (which is what earned Dawson his "boring" rep). On the flip side, Dawson's agility, sharp left hand, and physical strength will discourage Ward from clinching and billygoating. (which is where his bad rep comes from)
I picked a draw ..This is too difficult of a fight to pick a winner ..The only advantage Ward has is that this is at 168 ..
I'm curious to that as well. Ward does always find a way, but between the length, and Chad's left, it's the stiffest challenge of his career up to this point. And despite the weight for Dawson, should Ward win, it will be a real defining moment. I expect some early noggin knocks, and with Chad's glass scalp, it could play a big factor. And I don't think this fight will be without controversy.
The obvious pick would be ward by points due to him having more boxing ability but it will be a difficult and dangerous fight for Ward. Chad can take a good punch which ward doesn't have and chad hits hard enough to be able to ko ward if he can land some consective clean shots.
Voted early on, Ward UD.. but not a shutout. In fact, I'm anticipating more in the 115-113 range and I don't think Imperial1's draw pick is a bad one at all. It might even be worth laying money on Dawson or the draw. (Dawson being a wide underdog, somehow)