Where are the Smart Boxing Bets to be made in coming fights?

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by JohnAnthony, Apr 15, 2013.

  1. PetethePrince

    PetethePrince Slick & Redheaded Full Member

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    Betting the draw? Do you guys like to blindly close your eyes when you play darts in hope that something sticks? Might as well just make it a running parlay with a draw in there. That's more winnable than the lotto.
     
  2. hellsbells

    hellsbells nihil sub sole novum Full Member

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    I've just checked and Paddy Power have Broner 1/20 to beat Paulie. That's insanity.
     
  3. PetethePrince

    PetethePrince Slick & Redheaded Full Member

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    It's not it's just a long shot. You can throw a five and have fun with it but betting on draws is rarely the way to go.

    I'll admit, if there's a fight to do it on it's that one. What's the odds on a draw. 30/1?
     
  4. PetethePrince

    PetethePrince Slick & Redheaded Full Member

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    What. He's like 8/1 or maybe 10-12/1 at worse on sites I've checked. Damn.
     
  5. slugger3000

    slugger3000 You Mad Bro? Full Member

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    Zabs getting ****ed up! Thats money down the drain
     
  6. Sweet-D-Willy

    Sweet-D-Willy Tha Realest Full Member

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    :deal
     
  7. slugger3000

    slugger3000 You Mad Bro? Full Member

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    I would put some Money on Trout... Im going to put a modest 200$ bet on him.. I would bet more but im afraid of Canelo getting a gift decision! Canelo is Oscars golden egg..

    This fight is kinda like the Rigo-Donaire fight in the sense that it's a 50-50 fight and you could get odds on one of the fighters.. Proceed with caution though as I mentioned earlier. Good luck on your bets
     
  8. Lindo

    Lindo The Kid Full Member

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    Dont get crazy betting all the underdogs....thats how they get you.

    Zab is a 4 round fighter and we saw what Khan did to him, and Danny already beat Khan.

    Trout is the cool choice right now, but truth is that Canelo is a beast.

    I would leave those two fights alone, and bet heavy on Peterson, and also on Chilemba. Take that advice you'll be 2-0. :) I do this for a living honestly lol say what you want.
     
  9. PetethePrince

    PetethePrince Slick & Redheaded Full Member

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    It's fine as long as you understand the match-ups and manage your bankroll.

    Betting heavy on specific fights is rarely the go to move. I mean, it's high risk.

    I don't bet often but when I do I'm more of a low-risk gambler. We have different philosophies I guess. But 28/1 is about a 3.6% chance which is not terrible odds. Getting two judges to agree is never easy, I'd say the chances of a draw are in the 2-3% in my personal opinion.
     
  10. Lindo

    Lindo The Kid Full Member

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    I agree, what I meant more was since this was a thread asking for opinions, my opinion is that if you were gonna bet on a bunch of fights, I think it would be better to instead bet that money on Peterson and Chilemba which are pretty clear fights in my opinion.
     
  11. KillSomething

    KillSomething Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    Agreed on Chilemba, he proved to be a superior fighter who just didn't fight the right fight until too late.

    I don't think Peterson is a safe bet. Matthysse is the network guy these days and he's on a bit or a tear. Peterson is outstanding but he's always liked to work the body, which puts him right there for body punches. I can see Matthysse breaking him down and winning a decision, but I wouldn't say t's dumb to bet on Peterson, just not a whole ton.

    I wouldn't bet heavy on Judah-Garcia either. Judah could win it if he turns in an actual performance. I favor Garcia because he's on a roll right now and he's a beast, but a focused Zab could pull it off, especially at home.

    I think Alvarez has been given enough problems by lesser fighters than Trout. I remember thinking that Gomez was having a lot of success in their fight and that it was stopped way too early. Also, who's the best southpaw he's fought, Rhodes? I see Trout running away with this fight despite Alvarez getting to him a few times. Alvarez has looked like a beast but his opponents have been very overmatched. Trout hasn't fought anyone but Cotto, really, but he showed a lot in that fight.

    As someone who's just getting into betting, do I understand you right--you'd prefer to bet on just 2 fights rather than spread it over a bunch of them?
     
  12. Chuckle Vision

    Chuckle Vision Member Full Member

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    boxing is a great way to make money because the odd makers dont have a clue

    the odds on peterson winning is insane
     
  13. PowerBack

    PowerBack Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Kessler winning at 2.5 times your money back
    Kessler decision 4.5 times your back
    Draw at 29 times your money back
    Over 9.5 rounds at 1.3 times your money back.

    I kind of like those actually..
     
  14. ButtBread

    ButtBread @bettingboxing Full Member

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    If you're going to bet on Trout, which I am considering, I don't know why you wouldn't take him by decision. On Bet365, for example, you get +280 instead of +170. Others go from +200 to +300.
     
  15. moneypaysbills

    moneypaysbills That's Mr moneypaysbills Full Member

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    Trout is gonna win there is no doubt! Judah is a good bet but he has a problem with bottling it