Malignaggi 11-1 underdog

Yeah it is definitely a value-bet.

 

this is a tricky fight you know, but the bookies always have some insight on this and dont usually get it wrong.


lets say that paulie wont really have the size advantage.

broner is a sharp puncher and cannot be hurt by paulie.

i guess the big question is, can paulie outbox broner?

 

No point betting on this unless you somehow think Paulie can stop broner, there is no way on earth the judges let him win a decision.

 

I give Paulie little chance really so although 11/1 seems big, its probably close to reflecting his chances. I thought the price was 8/1

 

Yeah, because the linemakers just love to give away value.

Please. There's a reason he's an 11-to-1 underdog.

 

Im absolutely betting on Paulie. And Ill bet for a Paulie points decision, which will bring in more than 11-1. I think he has a 40% chance of winning tbh. I think Broner is vastly overrated. This is a dream bet for me.

 

That's what most people said before Rios/Alvarado II and Cotto/Trout. Don't get me wrong, Paulie will probably lose but nothing will suprise me.

 

If the odds on a Malignaggi decision are 15-1 or better, that's not a bad speculative bet for a small amount.

 

Betting the house on paulie.

 

Agreed. He has to outbox Broner in such a way that there's no room for a robbery and the judges can't do anything but give it to Malignaggi.
I like Pauli and resent Broner, but I can't see that happen.

So 11 to 1 is way too wide given the quality difference of the fighters, but not for the actual chance Pauli has to win.

 

Ill throw down 11 gs to win 1 and ill have 1010 more fillers then you.

 

I got a cardboard box for you.

 

The bookies probably love fights like these. Nobody wants to bet on Broner because it simply has next to no profit. And there are going to be some who are foolish enough to put cash down on Maliganaggi, who has next to no chance.

 

theres easy profit to be made on broner this fight.. broner UD 7/2