My bets last weekend -

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by Slyk, Apr 27, 2014.


  1. Slyk

    Slyk Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    200 on W. Klit to win, 10-1 odds, payout 20
    75 on OVER 7.5 on Lucas/Molina payout 165
    had 150 on OVER on Guillermo/Lebedev, cancelled


    I don't bet much but these odds seemed absurd to me. For the Klitschko fight you have a guy who has barely lost a round in a decade with every conceivable advantage over his opponent. Wlad's size, speed, power, and especially footspeed make this fight a RIDICULOUS mismatch. It's like the bookies looked at that video some ESB troll posted of Lepai throwing an uppercut and got spooked. The odds on this fight should've been 40+ to 1 at least. If I'd had a million dollars I probably would've put it on Wlad to win this fight, 10-1 is ridiculous.


    The Lucas/Molina odds were more understandable, but the over being 1 to 2.85 for 7.5+ rounds was still too wide. Molina had never been legitimately stopped, Lucas had never been legitimately dropped. Both guys have iron chins. People saw Molina having poor defense, moving up in weight, and a TKO1 on his record as a quick KO by the Machine. Molina has a big frame and I knew he'd make the move up comfortably, his TKO1 loss was clearly a fluke, and his offense acts as a defense to make opponents go back to boxing.

    This is maybe just a brag thread, but I've only ever made a few money bets. I'll post losses when/if they occur too.

    Please share any recent bets you've made.
     
  2. MrMagic

    MrMagic Loyal Member Full Member

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    Who bets on -1000 and beyond?

    Scrub!
     
  3. Slyk

    Slyk Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    I felt and still feel that if Wlad and Lepai were to fight 50 times, Lepai would win 0 to 1 times. This makes 10-1 a good move if I'm right.
     
  4. The Shockmaster

    The Shockmaster SOG has 4 children...he pulls out of nothing banned Full Member

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    Just because something is -1000 doesn't mean there can't be value on it....line actually came in under that at a lot of shops

    Something like that usually had more value as a leg in a parlay....and it's usually best to avoid lines like that...but with wlad there was some value
     
  5. Slyk

    Slyk Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    I heard parlays are sucker bets?

    I don't know enough about betting though.
     
  6. jas

    jas ★ Legends: B-HOP ; PAC ★ Full Member

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    i am selective, ive only bet twice on boxing. i liked bhop to win but im a fan so dont want that clouding my judgement. also liked floyd vs canelo but i thought they would rob mayweather.

    next pick i like and will bet is marquez > alvarado at 1/2


    http://i59.tinypic.com/2z7fqx2.png
     
  7. The Shockmaster

    The Shockmaster SOG has 4 children...he pulls out of nothing banned Full Member

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    They are if you are betting spreads/totals....moneyline parlays aren't nearly as bad
     
  8. jas

    jas ★ Legends: B-HOP ; PAC ★ Full Member

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    i thought wlad at 1/8 was a good bet
     
  9. jas

    jas ★ Legends: B-HOP ; PAC ★ Full Member

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    marquez over alvarado is a must bet
     
  10. A|C|S

    A|C|S The original |A|C|S| Full Member

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    Man up, I had Wlad in 6 and ive never seen Leapai fight in my life
     
  11. Slyk

    Slyk Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    That site gives you a debit card to withdraw winnings or what? I've been using Bovada and only make occasional boxing bets because the balance is shared with poker from that site.

    If the over looks good I may go for that for Marquez-Alvarado. I don't feel comfortable betting on either guy outright...Marquez has been on the slide for too long.
     
  12. jas

    jas ★ Legends: B-HOP ; PAC ★ Full Member

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    thats my debit bank card.
     
  13. jas

    jas ★ Legends: B-HOP ; PAC ★ Full Member

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    ive been on a roll lately on predictions. ignore my trolling in various threads. when i break a fight down, ive been spot on!
     
  14. The Shockmaster

    The Shockmaster SOG has 4 children...he pulls out of nothing banned Full Member

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    Slyk

    Look into another book for boxing lines...bovadas are usually off(although sometimes in your favor) and usually limit or restrict parlays

    But look into parlay calculators and learn about them....u can parlays lines and over/unders
     
  15. jas

    jas ★ Legends: B-HOP ; PAC ★ Full Member

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    trust me man, marquez will beat alvarado