Floyd will need the Cotto-Martinez winner, Pac, and GGG for his last 3 fights for Showtime to be happy.
100 Million PPV 37 Million (Mayweather + Undercard) 63 Million left for 1.5 Million PPV 30 Million left for 1.0 Million PPV Under 1.0 Million = Loss is Possible Under 0.6 Million = Loss is Certain
foolish gamble by espinoza, he may get sacked if they get a bigger loss here than the floyd querrero fight.
100m revenue, half goes to cable operators. 50m-32m= 18m. that's all showtime can play around including paying madona, the undercards and pedjr's upside ppv share. 1.5m ~ break even. gate prolly goes to promoters (gbp/w/e).
I recall the Guerrero fight getting hyped pretty hard by the media and Showtime. BS storylines about Ruben vs. Floyd Sr., Guerrero's wife, Guerrero's gun, etc. This fight hasn't really had any of that. Plus Guerrero is Mexican and the fight was on Cinco de Mayo weekend with Mares vs. PDL on the undercard. That card had all the ingredients for maximizing the sales of a mismatch, and it bombed. This card has an Argentinean, Broner, and Khan. Realistically, Broner isn't bringing any new buys to Floyd's card, particularly fighting an absolute pushover with no potential for an entertaining fight. Khan might tip a few British over the fence, but Mayweather is pretty popular over there and I think most Khan fans would be tuning in anyway to see him. Collazo is Mexican but I just don't see a lot of folks forking over $75 to cheer him on. This card is going to sell in the 750k-950k range. I can't see how it gets over 1mil.
Wont matter. CBS mothership is underwriting the Floyd contract. Spending tens of millions across a few years means very little if they consider it a brand investment. HBO is whooping SHO in terms of original programming right now, but SHO Sports has made a big surge and played a large role in keeping SHO relevant. CBS could care less if they lose a few dozen million over several years. Their revenue is like 16B or something, plus just snatching Floyd from HBO/TW in the first place is a feather in Moonves's cap.