Fights you'd be willing to bet money you can't afford to lose on the betting underdog

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by Super Hans, Aug 20, 2014.


  1. Super Hans

    Super Hans The Super One™ banned

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    Which potential fights that could be made would you be willing to bet money you can't afford to lose on the fighter that would most likely be the betting underdog (basically so you have nothing less should the fighter you picked not win- regardless of how much that is).

    I was extremely confident last Sat's fight that Brook would beat Porter but had to factor in the chances of a robbery on Amercian soil, so wouldn't been one I'd have been willing to bet every last penny on.

    An example of one I would be willing to is Carl Froch beating Adonis Stevenson at 175, where I would imagine Froch would be the underdog with the bookies if the fight took place in Canada. I strongly believe Froch would make Stevenson look like he doesn't belong in the same ring as him, getting Buted in a more emphatic fashion than Bute himself. (I also believe Hopkins would completely own Stevenson but I'm not sure if he'd be the bookies underdog at this stage).
     
  2. jim jim

    jim jim Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    khan to beat algeiri, khan would probably be a favourite but its a fight that id be so confident to put a lot
    money on,
     
  3. chitownfightfan

    chitownfightfan Loyal Member Full Member

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    All good choices...

    Im gonna go out on a limb and say Wilder over Stiverne.

    I can't imagine Vegas doesnt know how poor Wilders defense, legs, and chin are.....so I'd imagine a guy who's twice destroyed Arreola would be at leat a 2-1 favorite.

    But I'd take Wilder @3/2.:think
     
  4. Super Hans

    Super Hans The Super One™ banned

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    I agree he'd beat Algeiri but I think Khan would be favorite going in though.

    One guy I'd be willing to bet a lot of money on Khan to beat (but not so much I can't afford to lose) is Thurman, I give Thurman a punchers chances but only that due to Khan's glass chin (not sure Khan wouldn't be the favourite or at least even money based on name recognition though).
     
  5. Super Hans

    Super Hans The Super One™ banned

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    But would you be willing to bet so much you wouldn't have a penny until your next pay packet....bearing in mind how poor Wilder's defense, legs and chin are. ...:think
     
  6. jim jim

    jim jim Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    Its a tough question to be absolutely sure, theres plenty id put money on being an underdog but being absolutely sure of an outcome with an underdog is hard to come by, id def bet on froch to beat stevenson too but man i woudlnt be as confident as you and put a whole heap on it
     
  7. Super Hans

    Super Hans The Super One™ banned

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    Yep, it's more about identfying the hype jobs who wouldn't see the final bell and don't have much of a punchers chances. You've also got to factor in robberies etc

    For example, i'm confident with fair judging and officiating there is a heap of guys at 140 that would defeat Broner, but will there be fair judging and officiating...plus he wouldn't see the final bell against Garcia, Matthysse and Provodnikov but I'm not sure the bookies would probably be picking them, and the other guys in the division don't have comparable power so Broner has a chance of getting a robbery.
     
  8. Ilikeboxing

    Ilikeboxing Boxing Addict Full Member

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    If Fury ever faced Wlad I'm backing Fury.

    Wlad's not hugging him.
     
  9. Good Boy.

    Good Boy. Guest

    I had £50 on Brook

    I nearly put it on Brook via KO, thinking there is no way he will get the decision. But i just went with a Brook win and glad i did
     
  10. Super Hans

    Super Hans The Super One™ banned

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    Brave choice....don't give Fury much of a chance at all myself (as a matter of fact I probably give David Price more of a punchers chance than Fury).
     
  11. Ilikeboxing

    Ilikeboxing Boxing Addict Full Member

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    Fury has the reach advantage & can also change to South Paw.

    Wlad has his right hand & gasses late(Fury comes on strong late)
     
  12. Super Hans

    Super Hans The Super One™ banned

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    :good I thought it was extremely obvious who would win unless you thought it was Brook of Carson Jones 1 vs Porter of the Paulie fight (as for some reason, a lot posters seemed to think)- two huge mirages when it came to how good the fighters actually are.
     
  13. Super Hans

    Super Hans The Super One™ banned

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    I think Fury's main problem in that fight is actually getting to the later stages.
     
  14. Ilikeboxing

    Ilikeboxing Boxing Addict Full Member

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    Soon as Wlad tires(he will keeping Fury off him all night) I think Fury can realistically go inside for the kill with some hugging of his own...*think Lewis vs Vitali*
     
  15. Ilikeboxing

    Ilikeboxing Boxing Addict Full Member

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    Fury has an underrated jab. He hardly uses it vs the guys he's been facing.

    He'll not out-jab Wlad. He can wear him down.
    If Fury goes for an early K.O he will be koed himself.

    Wlad will gas, after he does Fury can either go for broke or win the 2nd half of the fight by being more active.