By 2025 what will an ATG heavyweight list look like??

Discussion in 'Classic Boxing Forum' started by Mendoza, Apr 28, 2008.


  1. Mendoza

    Mendoza Hrgovic = Next Heavyweight champion of the world. Full Member

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    It seems ATG rankings tend to change every 40 years or so. By 2025 what will an ATG heavyweight list look like?

    Which fighters will go up in ranking? Who will go down. Going off a general consensus, here is my best guess.

    Fighters who will be going up in ranking: Lennox Lewis, and Wladimir Klitschko.

    Fighters who will be going down in ranking: Ezzard Charles, Joe Walcott, Floyd Patterson, Jack Johnson, Gene Tunney, Rocky Marciano and Joe Frazier.

    Not sure if they will go up or down: Foreman, Jeffries, Liston and Dempsey.

    Fighters who will more or less stay where they are: Ali, Louis, and Holmes.

    Thoughts?
     
  2. McGrain

    McGrain Diamond Dog Staff Member

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    Why do you think Frazier will go down? His generally high placement seems to be based in good part upon his great victory over a close to peak Ali, who's rating, we agree, will not be altered?

    I expect anyone pre-Louis only to move down by exactly the number of great fighters that emerge to be placed above them. Why are you so sure that Johnson's reputation will suffer? What new information is coming to light that will make the general public and historians to demote him?

    I think Holmes could move UP as fighter's failing to take on top contenders becomes more normal, but this might take longer than the stipulated time.
     
  3. Mendoza

    Mendoza Hrgovic = Next Heavyweight champion of the world. Full Member

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    Frazier today is viewed anywhere between say #5 and #15. The IBRO Group which consists mainly of seasoned historians who do research with an average age over 50 view Frazier as the 10th best heavyweight of all time.

    The bottom line is this. Frazier is 1-4 vs the his chief competition, and heavyweights are getting bigger and stronger. There are very few top ten heavyweights Frazier's size this decade. That is under 6' and 210 pounds at his best weight. I beleive by the year 2025 the fondness of smaller heavies that many modern historians who currently age from 50-75 will be on its way out. Replaced they will be fresh eyed historians who them on film as fighters, and not famous celebrates.

    I think Johnson's rep will fall even further than Frazier's. The flims show of Johnson and the news read do not live up to his legendary status.

    By 2025 we might even need a new weight class between 200-215 LBS.
     
  4. Mantequilla

    Mantequilla Boxing Addict Full Member

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    We won't know till 2025
     
  5. McGrain

    McGrain Diamond Dog Staff Member

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    And generally worse. The only truely great, and I mean GREAT, modern, huge big heavy is Lewis. That's it. And there have been plenty. I, personally, expect that trend to continue. There will be extraordinary individuals, of course, like Lewis, and in the class below, like your man, but they are to big to employ proper footwork, balance and almost as crucially, to be able to come in slightly out of shape and still do well.

    I don't expect the heavyweight divisions "great" list to be dominated by men of Lewis' size until the end of the century, if it happens at all.

    1-4, yes, but how are these things to be weiged? In my opinion Frazier holds the greatest win in the history of the division. I weigh that very, very heavily.

    How many fighters under 6' do you have on in your top 15 HW list full stop? Proving that Frazier is close to unique hardly warrents reason for his exclusion. If no other fighter of his size and shape reproduced his performances and acheivments, this would have absolutley zero bearing upon my rating of Joe Frazier. It is not relevant in any way.

    If a "fondness of smaller heavyweights" can be shown to influence a man's opinion of a given fighter, i'll be happy to throw that testimony out. Similairly, the reverse should be true.

    Why?! Why, though? Why, when this has not happened in the past 100 years will it happen in the next 17?

    Good god damn I hope not.
     
  6. mcvey

    mcvey VIP Member

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    I think Lewis will move up,Wlad,s standing will depend on what he does in the future.Charles and Walcott will possibly be relegated to the lower 20,s,Frazier drops out of the top 10,Johnson stays around the same,anyone who saw him fight is long dead. Jeffries suffers because as the size of Champs increase his biggest wins look less laudatory ,due to the size disparity of his challengers.
    Marciano goes down a couple of places,not sure about Liston,Holmes gains some ground.Foreman too.If we get another winning Tyson clone things may well reverse,interesting thread.
     
  7. Sonny's jab

    Sonny's jab Guest

    Boxing is too pussified these days for any new fighters to seriously threaten the position of the old-timers, IMO at least.

    There aren't many hungry heavyweights, challengers turn up to world title fights just happy to be there, already loads of money in the bank. Fighting once or twice a year, gloves the size of pillows, refs quick to stop fights. No greats fights, no great fighters.

    So, it's doubtful that anyone NEW will enter the rankings. As for changes among the alreay-ranked, it varies each individual list.
     
  8. Mendoza

    Mendoza Hrgovic = Next Heavyweight champion of the world. Full Member

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    There are very few truely great heavies. Lewis was one of them. Although many disagree, I rate Bowe head to head a little higher than Frazier.

    Since 1990, how many men near Lewis size have been the #1 guy Ring magazine rated fighter? Bowe, Lewis, Foreman, Klitschko, and Klitschko. That basicaly 15+ years of an 18 year histroy, with McCall , Morrer and Holyfield taking the honors for a breif moment in time. McCall is no small man. I tend to see the best heavy being close to Lewis size. That is at least 220 pounds.

    You could say that. I think styles had a lot to do with the win. But how many other greats 1-4 in a five fight series with Ali and Foreman in the 1970's? Quite a few. And some would likely be better than 1-4.

    Marciano, Tyson, and Frazier. However all three guys could punch well. The guys I think will really drop off are those under 200 pounds who did not hit in this class.

    It could be a generational thing for some people.

    Fresh eyes, better access to the old newspapers and the films via the web allow new fans to judge for themselves. And these fans were not linked to old timers told it has to be this way. That is my take.

    Same here. We do not need another divison.
     
  9. janitor

    janitor VIP Member

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    Much depends on what happens between now and 2025.

    If some young dynamo came from the cruiserweight division and tore through the heavyweight ranks then fighters like Jack Dempsey would suddenly start to look frighteningly realistic again.
     
  10. McGrain

    McGrain Diamond Dog Staff Member

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    I won't say this is ridiculous, but I will say that I don't agree.



    Sure, but Ali, Louis, Liston, Frazier, Tyson, Lewis and Holmes would be my picks as the best ever. Of those, one, Lewis, is what we might call a "super-heavy". The others are smaller men. I don't imagine this will change as time goes on. I just don't think that MASSIVE men are ever going to make top .05% of top fighters at this weight.

    Recently, yes. But the division has been weak, which means an equaliser, like size, can become a serious factor. Of the fighters capmaining NOW, the guys who have a chance of overhauling the Klitchko's all time status are Povetkin and Chagaev. Smaller guys. More mobile guys.



    Again, how do we weight these statistics? 0-2 v Foreman is not satisfying and I don't think many all time greats would have suffered this ignomy. As to Frazier's series with Ali, I don't know that anyone other than perhaps Louis would have taken one from him, in my opinion.



    Me too, but the question was rhetorical. My point is that size is only an issue if the fighter in question fails to overcome it. Men like these always will. In addition they will have other advantages, exceptional mobility (relative), speed and the ability to come in carrying excess weight without dropping off as dramatically in terms of stamina (see Lewis in Raman I).

    It seems very, very unlikely to me. Johnson has been rated highly from the day he lifted the title until 2008. It seems really unlikley to me that these fresh eyes you imagine will damage his reputation seriously between now and '25, though we will see.



    Yeah.
     
  11. Robbi

    Robbi Marvelous Full Member

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    Another one bites the dust.
     
  12. Senya13

    Senya13 Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    Much will depend on how far Adam Pollack moves on with his series :)
    My two cents.
     
  13. Bokaj

    Bokaj Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Since head-to-head scenarios are highly speculative and flawed, the most important criteria will always be how a fighter fares in his own era. And since the elit fighters fight so rarely and there are few unified titles nowadays it will always be hard to say that any one fighter truly dominates. Man, Klitschko has to get very busy to be able to put together a record that can even be mentioned on the same day as Ali's Louis's, before he retires.

    Johnson's legacy has been consistently high for a very long time now, so that probably won't change much. But since the memory of Frazier's trilogy with a Ali grows dimmer so might his standing among other ATGs. I think Lewis probably will move up some, while Ali and Louis will stay where they are.
     
  14. janitor

    janitor VIP Member

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    That true

    This time next year expect the average list to be-

    1. John L Sullivan
    2. Jim Jeffries
    3. Bob Fitzsimmons
    4. Jim Corbett
    5. Joe Louis
    6. Muhamad Ali
    7. Jake Kilrain
    8. Marvin Hart
    9. Larry Holmes
    10 Lennox Lewis.
     
  15. dwilson

    dwilson Guest

    Sam Peter at 20873.