The value of fight prediction...

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by IntentionalButt, Jun 21, 2015.


  1. Jim Jeffries

    Jim Jeffries Ring General banned Full Member

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    I was wrong about Badou Jack vs Anthony Dirrell as he previously got knocked out by Dereck Edwards. I wish i actually bet on Jack now.

    I also was at the fence with Fonfara and Chavez Jr when i should've gone with my head and picked Fonfara.


    I did get Joshua stopping Gavern in Round 3, though. I also had Lee beating Korobov.

    I picked Cunningham to go down against Glaskov and win a decision but unfortunately that never happened and lost a bit of money.
     
  2. nervousxtian

    nervousxtian Trolljegeren Full Member

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    Da fuq does Broner and Ortiz being hype jobs have to do with picking fights?

    Both have won 30 fights. I'd like to know how many times you picked against Broner and were wrong.. because he's only lost twice.

    It's like the chin-checker morons here.. predict 10 fights in a row some guy is getting KTFO.. and when it finally happens.. they are like "SEE SEE!!!!"
     
  3. Robney

    Robney ᴻᴼ ᴸᴼᴻᴳᴲᴿ ᴲ۷ᴵᴸ

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    That's true, red corner has had roughly about a 90% win rate trough the ages. Many articles have been written about that.
    BUT, not all of the fights on a card are worthy of picking for, because many are upcoming boxers feasting off journeymen and total cans with very little profit margins with the bookies. Normally it's only the top 2 to 4 fights on a card that are actually worthy of picking and that's the point where the win percentage is usually much lower.

    Nobody is predicting the outcome from a 8(8 )-0 up and comer vs a 2-16(9) can, but do predict the winner between the 16(7)-0-1 prospect against the 24(15)-4-1 gatekeeper.
     
  4. CST80

    CST80 De Omnibus Dubitandum Staff Member

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    So far in 2016 I'm at 84%:p
     
  5. VBOX

    VBOX JOURNEYMAN Full Member

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    Anyone that's ever wagered in their life and has the slightest clue about what they're doing will tell you it's more about money management than simply picking winners.

    I especially get a laugh at posters that make fun of others v-cash. Any idiot can pick a string of winners paying peanuts but with play money at stake it's hard not to be tempted to go for a Hail Mary once in a while. Also if you get 100 picks in a row correct but you bet the farm on the next fight, and there happens to be questionable judging you will go broke regardless of your percentage.
     
  6. dpw417

    dpw417 Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    Sadam Ali and Meisha Tate were the latest to take away my V-cash...(Kinda glad to see Meisha get the win though)
     
  7. IntentionalButt

    IntentionalButt Guy wants to name his çock 'macho' that's ok by me

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    Miesha Tate and Lucas Browne relieved me of some (but I hedged with the Over 9.5 in Browne vs. Chagaev to help mitigate that sting), while Jessie Vargas provided a huge boon.
     
  8. C.J.

    C.J. Boxings Living Legend revered & respected by all Full Member

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    The 3 predictions I'm most proud of, & I was ridiculed by the majority for picking all 3 by the way

    1 Lennox Lewis destruction of Razor Ruddock
    2 Antonio Margarito destruction of Miguel Cotto
    2 Ike Ibeabuchi beating David Tua

    All 3 were given no chance . They called Antonio The Statue I recall
    A couple of them asked if Ike was a Japanese fighter as they'd never heard of him. & predicted his destruction. They learned different though
    But like everyone else Ive had many wrong calls but we don't like to talk about them lol
     
  9. IntentionalButt

    IntentionalButt Guy wants to name his çock 'macho' that's ok by me

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    Not to nitpick too much, but...

    Did many people really think Razor was a sure thing against Lennox? :huh

    You're positive there were no bricks involved with Cotto I?

    Most fans had Ibeabuchi vs. Tua a draw...
     
  10. UnleashtheFURY

    UnleashtheFURY D'oh!

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    I read that in his voice :lol:
     
  11. C.J.

    C.J. Boxings Living Legend revered & respected by all Full Member

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    Yes Razor at that time was favorite to win the Lewis,Ruddock Holyfield & Bowe series Lennox was really least favored

    Yes I am certain Tony NEVER EVER loaded or tried to load his gloves. I cannot understand why Nazim Richardson wasn't investigated about what happened to the PLASTER BLOCKS he claimed he saw but no one else did or has. Tony then was like GGG today no one wanted to fight him. Trouble was he upset the applecart & kicked Cotto's ass when he wasn't supposed to have a chance. Spoiled Oscars plan of Cotto as his final fight.
    Margarito had to go I'm convinced of it
    I was there most had never heard of Ike but many including me thought he won. David Tua didn't complain either according To Curtis & Jay
     
  12. CST80

    CST80 De Omnibus Dubitandum Staff Member

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    5 Months into the year, 83.6%.... rounding up I'm still at 84%.:hey

    92-18:deal I'm a Beast:toney
     
  13. Bad Boy Bill

    Bad Boy Bill Active Member Full Member

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    Lol
     
  14. Bad Boy Bill

    Bad Boy Bill Active Member Full Member

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    I've always believed in sticking to the picks you first make, rather then picking a fighter to win then switching at the last minute. It just looks more impressive when you stick with your picks and win instead of picking a certain fighter to win, then switch to stay safe. Just my opinion on the subject.
     
  15. CST80

    CST80 De Omnibus Dubitandum Staff Member

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    I agree that strategy to throw off other players failed horribly last year, so now I make all my picks at the beginning of the month and stick to them, and everyone copies me, why else do you think this is the closest top 15 this far into the year in the history of Kirk's thread.