AJ vs. Wilder

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by Lomasaxual, Dec 26, 2017.


  1. Lomasaxual

    Lomasaxual New Member banned Full Member

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    So, I'm new to ESB. But I've been around some boxing forums. And I've seen plenty of debate about Wilder vs. Joshua when it comes to finances. Im curious to hear the ESB posters tell their side.

    I heard Wilder say something about 50 percent. Which initially I thought was crazy. Then I saw a video with Richard Schaefer where he broke some things down a bit. He said that UK PPVs are usually 1/4-1/3 the cost of US PPVs. So basically to make the same money on 1 million UK sells you would only have to sell about 300k in the US. Not to mention US ticket prices are higher. It was also brought to my attention that Canelo vs. Chavez did a live gate of 10.5 million in Vegas. Where AJ vs. Wlad did about 8.5 million with 90k in attendance. Staggering when you think about it really. If this is all right, and adds up, wouldnt you think that Wilder does have a legit claim to 50 percent? Or at least 40 percent?

    Wilder is the only guy that can offer Joshua this opportunity. I know that Wilder has no PPVs under his belt. But I do know he is known to some casuals over here. His fight highlights are regularly shown on ESPN Sportscenter and Ive even seen Stephen Smith(I know I want to gag also) talking about an AJ vs. Wilder fight on Sportscenter. I think with a bit of build up this fight could easily do 300k in the states. Probably more. I believe alot of times it depends on who you put in front of someone that determines the interest. For instance, when you put Canelo in with Liam Smith there is little to moderate interest. You put him in with Golovkin, Khan and Cotto and you have success. You put AJ in there and I think the public US interest becomes pretty substantial with Wilder across from him.

    Maybe late 2018 or summer of 2019. But it seems like the states is logical. And Wilder may have a claim to 40-50 percent. He is the only one that can offer AJ the big US fight. What do you guys think?
     
  2. destruction

    destruction Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    The opinion on these here forums is that 98% is of the opinion that Wilder is a complete joke, who never steps up and never faces AJ. He actively avoided facing Wlad when the opportunity was there and will avoid both AJ and Parker, and any other elite opponent. He is happy making small paydays with his We Be Crooks belt until he is stripped or retires.

    There is another 2% of posters on these forums (who happen to all be from the USA) who think that Wilder is the best HW ever, deserves to be in the P4P top 10 and knocks AJ and every other fighter out there early. He has only fought bums because it didnt make business sense, but he will step up, just wait it will happen any minute now.

    That sums it up.
     
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  3. Lomasaxual

    Lomasaxual New Member banned Full Member

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    Well that explain alot on ESBs feelings on Wilder as a fighter. But is he crazy to say 40-50 percent for Joshua fight here in the US given the numbers that Schaefer presented? Given that Canelo vs. Chavez did more at the gate than AJ vs. Wlad? despite a disparity of about 70k in tickets sold?

    Lets try to take peoples feelings about Wilder and their nationalists bias out of the equation here for a moment.
     
  4. destruction

    destruction Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    The views on the splits differ here.

    My view is that if you can make $10 million from a 30-70 split for a fight, but only $2 million from your mandatory 60-40 run of the mill defence, then you take the 30-70 split. Wilder is a nobody even in America, he doesnt bring in the money to start shouting about percentages and should be fighting for the money. AJ is bringing in most of the money and Hearn should not be the one taking a massive financial hit to get Wilder in the ring, when he can make $10-15 million for his fighter facing the likes of Whyte or Haye, in a virtually zero risk defence.

    If I was to make you a choice between $10 million and $2 million for a job, then you would be stupid to take the $2 million. Boxing is a business and its dangerous sport, and you should take the biggest money fight out there, because that fight may not be available in a year or 2 years time.
     
  5. Brighton bomber

    Brighton bomber Loyal Member Full Member

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    Canelo/Chavez was in Vegas which is why the gate was so high, tickets there go for much higher prices than elsewhere in the US, if Wilder could sell out a place in Vegas he'd be fighting there already instead of half filling arenas in Birmingham or Brooklyn. For example highest price for Wilders last fight for tickets was about $400 but Canelo/Chavez had tickets sold for $1500.

    Also Canelo/Chavez had about double the number of people in attendance for Wilder's last fight. So while Canelo/Chavez's gate was $10.5 mill, Wilder sells half as many at a quarter of the price. So Wilder's gate is likely $1.3 mill or so.

    Compare $1.3 mill gate to $8.5 mill gate that would equate to a 87/13 split. So why does Wilder deserve 50%?

    And yes US PPV is charged at a higher price but Wilder and Joshua are not proven to be PPV fighters in the US and if US PPV is factored in, the fight has to happen either in the US or in the UK at a US time which would kill the attendance in the UK, decreasing the money on the table.

    But lets be generous and say Wilder can get 300K PPV's for a Joshua fight in the US, they why is he asking for 50/50 he should be asking for each fighter to keep their revenue for the ppv in their own countries. That way Wilder's supposed high PPV income from US PPV will match Joshua's income from UK PPV or perhaps surpass it.

    Answer is Wilder knows he isn't getting 300K ppv in the US at the moment so he wants 50% of Joshua's UK PPV income as little is coming from US ppv at the moment.
     
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  6. Lomasaxual

    Lomasaxual New Member banned Full Member

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    I could agree with most of what you wrote. But when you are the only guy that brings the US audience than are you worth only 30 percent?

    I disagree that Wilder is unkown to the US audience. His highlights are always shown on Sportscenter. And they have talked about an AJ clash on that same show. I have friends who are definitley the definition of casual. And they have mentioned Wilder to me in the past before I ever brought him up in front of them.

    As I said before, it depends on who you put in front of him. The AJ vs. Wilder fight was a great one and the American audience loved it on Showtime. AJ is getting his name out over here. With a bit more work on pushing AJ I think AJ vs. Wilder is wildly successful over here as well as the UK. If you get both PPV audiences in it could be a massive financial success.

    If you are putting Liam Smith in front of Canelo nobody really cares. You put Cotto, Khan and Golovkin in there it changes everything. Wilder is obviously not on the Canelo level but Im just using an example. When you put Wilder in with Stiverne and Gerald Washington then sure its not going to get crazy viewers. You put him in with AJ and it changes the equation. So thats AJ's line. But Wilders line is hes the only one that can help AJ fill T-Mobile with big ticket prices. If the thing did 500k on US PPV alone it would be a success. I believe it can reach at least that.
     
  7. Lomasaxual

    Lomasaxual New Member banned Full Member

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    Again. You seem to be talking about Wilder does on his own now vs. what he can do with someone with the profile of AJ. Its not the same. You arent really seeing the picture here to in my opinion.

    Yes Wilders tickets in Brooklyn are less than Chavez/Canelo tickets. But Wilder vs. AJ wouldnt be in Brooklyn and he wouldnt be fighting Stiverne or a Gerald Washington. He would be fighting AJ, whom his own fans claim, is a star. AJs profile is building in the US and the Wlad fight helped tremendously.

    You dont think AJ/Wilder can do 300k US PPVs? I certainly do.
     
  8. Brighton bomber

    Brighton bomber Loyal Member Full Member

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    I think you're being wildly optimistic. Wilder as a draw is on a similar level to Andre Ward, they did similar audience numbers and had similar attendance figures for fights. Yet his PPV with Kovalev only did 125K. You could say Joshua is a bigger name than Kovalev but that's debatable as his fights were at least in the US and did better numbers than AJ's fights in the US.

    I doubt any network right now thinks AJ/Wilder does 500K buys in the US. Froch was a big star in the UK too like Joshua but when the Golovkin fight was talked about and Hearn approached the US networks he was told quite plainly the fight was not PPV in the US.

    So Wilder's team can fantasize about hypothetical PPV numbers and filling Vegas casino's but Hearn has to deal with the reality of what's actually on the table and being offered.
     
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  9. Brighton bomber

    Brighton bomber Loyal Member Full Member

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    We can agree to disagree about what the fight would do in the US regarding PPV. But lets say you are right and the fight does 300-500K why does Wilder want 50/50 then, why not ask each of them to keep the revenue from their own domestic PPV market?

    That's $18-30 mill revenue for Wilder right there not including the hypothetical share of the live gate, he could then get $23-35 mill. If he's so confident he can get that many PPV's or more then he shouldn't want 50/50 at all. But he wants 50/50 because he knows he isn't guaranteed to get anywhere near that, might not even be PPV.
     
  10. Lomasaxual

    Lomasaxual New Member banned Full Member

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    Why would Showtime buy AJ's fights then? It would seem they have been working towards putting Wilder vs AJ on for some time?

    Froch was a star in the UK. But lets face it all we hear now is about how AJ is selling out 70-90k in seats and doing live gate record numbers.

    You dont think AJ's fans will travel and help fill the casinos and the arena? They sure traveled for a national treasure like Hatton on more than one occasion. If you dont think they can fill T-Mobile for AJ vs Wilder I think you are nuts. And if you think those tickets are going for the $400 they do in Brooklyn you are equally as crazy.

    I can tell by your name you are most likely a UK nationalist and probably have Hearn and AJ's back in every argument against the "yank". So I will try to take it with a grain of salt. But this fight is appetizing in the US. They will fill in the arena at premium prices without a problem. PPV sales are tougher to gauge though I will admit that.
     
  11. Lomasaxual

    Lomasaxual New Member banned Full Member

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    Because its good and fair business. Both guys bring something to the table the other guy cant get without them. AJ cant get a fight that will do a gate like that and add US PPV money. And Wilder cant get a PPV worthy fight and a gate like that without AJ. It just makes sense. Both bring something to the table.

    How many US/UK battles have you seen where each side kept their domestic PPVs?

    Did Hatton and Floyd agree to both take their own domestic PPV money? How about Pac and Hatton?
     
  12. sean

    sean pale peice of pig`s ear Full Member

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    your n


    joshua earned 31 million usa dollars for his 2 fights this year

    wilder earned 2 million dollars for his 2 fights this year

    how much would team wilder offer joshua to give up home advantage .

    also of course you understand that american fights take place at 4.30 am on sunday mornings

    how many of your friends would stay up at that hour of the morning and pay ppv for boxing?
     
  13. Brighton bomber

    Brighton bomber Loyal Member Full Member

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    It's fair if your hypothetical scenario plays true which is far from likely as there is no evidence to suggest it will other than hope on your part.

    If my hypothetical scenario plays true and there is little to no US ppv money actually available then 50/50 would be the worst decision since Kovalev agreed to rematch Ward without any guarantee.

    Hearn offered Parker for both sides to keep their own domestic revenue, Parker of course didn't take it. Why? Because despite NZ ppv prices being higher than UK ppv prices just like US ppv prices are higher and despite Parker being a proven ppv star in NZ unlike Wilder he knew he wasn't going to make as much as he would taking 35%.

    And your answer still doesn't explain why Wilder hasn't offered this. On paper if your numbers ring true he could make more than Joshua as the fight would be in the US to maximise US ppv and that would effect Joshua's revenue in the UK. If Wilder truly believes he brings so much in US ppv and Joshua believes he's the one that really brings all the ppv money then this is the best solution. Wilder won't go for it though because he isn't selling anywhere near what you imagine.

    Also Wilder doesn't bring anything unique to the table as you think. Fury would make more money for Joshua if Fury actually returns. Haye might even be a bigger fight financially for Joshua too if he beats Bellew in the rematch.
     
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  14. GALVATRON

    GALVATRON Boxing Junkie banned Full Member

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    How many top guys are actually U.S fighters? I'm sure Joshua can still do decent numbers anywhere he fights without Wilder. There's a reason Hearn was having the Klitchko rematch in Vegas and that's BC Joshua is a world famous guy now and he had the Klitchko name attached to it.

    To make the fight in the U.S is a gamble, its obviously going to be a bigger Wembley stadium fight before it is a Vegas one for multiple reasons that were already addressed.

    The thread sounds like someone who's going to keep digging until he gets the answer he wants.

    The reality is its a more viable and money maker in the U.K right now. Wilder needs to actually do a ppv in the states and his quality of opposition hasn't allowed him to do that or warrant it.
     
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  15. Lomasaxual

    Lomasaxual New Member banned Full Member

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    What reasons make it bigger in Wembley than in the US?

    As stated. Canelo vs. Chavez did better live gate than both of AJs last two fights.

    If AJ is the big star you claim to be than a fight in the US makes more sense. As it gives them US and UK ppv money. UK money being 1/3 of what the US money would bring. Guys claiming that AJ is a worldwide star now only really lends credence to the fight taking place in the US.

    You guys look too much at what Wilder does on his own here in the US. And what AJ does on his own in the UK instead of realizing the potential of putting these two in TOGETHER and how much more interesting it makes the fight and sells it. You put someone like AJ in front of Wilder and suddenly people care ALOT more than they do if its Wilder vs. Gerald Washington or Stiverne or whoever.

    Why would Hearn want no part of a potential US PPV haul? Even at a fraction of the sales it equals the same money as 1 million UK views. Why would Hearn want to limit the potential of this?

    If AJ wins he not only has his UK/Europe audience. But has just won a big fight here in the States and raised his profile here.

    Did Hatton ever ask Floyd "Hey man Ill tell you what you keep your domestic PPV money and I'll keep mine thats cool man right"? I dont think he did. Maybe he did but I dont remember.

    Richard Schaefer has no stake in this. Do you guys think you know more about the UK/US markets and boxing financials than him? Schaefer has been around the boxing game for some time and put together some big fights.