I truly appreciate your??? Non fan-boy analysis??? Not sure I am convinced yet. I do think Fury is slightly better at thier best...just not convinced about his return to his best
LOL@the sparring fairy tales..................he looked like shid against the washed up never was Italian Pasta cream puff.............Fury is done on the elite level, stick a fork in him..............one more time cash out fight because if he would actually take the road back to a title seriously he would fight himself thru some contenders but said contenders are going to upset the apple cart getting to mega $$$......Fury knows it, his handlers know it...anybody with a brain knows it.
Lol I don’t often post here in general, and didn’t really have high hopes of getting reasonable or reasoned replies. Thanks for restoring my faith a little. Once again I am still undecided but do appreciate your thoughts and comments
Fury has to execute his game plan of sticking and moving for the greater part of 36 minutes. Wilder has to execute his in the time it takes to throw and cleanly land a right hand bomb. Considering how far Fury has slipped from his peak of 2015, I like Wilder's odds better.
This is how people should see it... Imagine Deontay Wilder is a military jet and he's trying to shoot down an enemy jet. The problem is that when he tries to use his missile system, he can't lock on to the target because it's moving too quickly. He could fire, but 99% of the time, he's going to miss because he isn't locked on. Deontay Wilder relies on the jab to setup the right hand. His jab is that 'lock-on'. But that's the thing. Everybody in this forum knows that Deontay's jab won't work against Fury because he's a moving target and one with the better reach and height. So how on earth does he use the right hand then? I'll tell you how. He swings for the hills. And by doing that, Fury will just evade and counter. That is how this fight WILL go, because Deontay doesn't know any other way. He will either be swinging endlessly or be stood there clueless because he can't use his beloved jab. That's not fantasy. It's common sense.
The only guys Fury ever comfortably outboxed were short, unskilled and slow plodders like Chisora and Hammer. He landed 3 punches more per round against a painfully cautious, over the hill Wlad who put up a disgraceful performance and that's the reason Fury won that fight. Fury struggled and got dropped against the only good athletic and explosive fighter he ever fought and that was Steve Cunningham who is not even remotely as dangerous as Wilder. Wilder knocks him out.
Hard fight to predict because we don't know how good Fury will be, he's been getting better but is this too early in his comeback? Even if he's back to his old self it's a tough fight for Fury, he could out box Wilder for every minute of every round but if Wilder lands a bomb then it's a different fight. Wilder isn't Wlad, he can counter punch for one and is harder to predict so is more likely to land on Fury than Wlad ever was because Wlad relied on getting on first to be effective unlike Wilder. I'm giving Wilder the slight edge. He's fast and rangy and is dangerous pressing or countering in a defensive position. I expect Fury to out box him though, no way Wilder can match Fury in this regard, so it's not unthinkable that Fury wins a UD or at least dominates but gets robbed which is more likely if the judging in the Ortiz fight is anything to go by.
I think it's 60/40 Wilder, so obviously it could go either way. I ultimately favor Wilder because I think he's likely to hurt Fury at some point, which will slow him down (if not a KO) and enable Deontay potentially to win a surprising decision. I agree he'll have problems finding Fury, but I've been enamored of Tyson's offense and think in the Wilder is likely to win rounds.
Wilder will need to do a lot more than the predictable right hand. Fury will not let him land it, Wilder will need to work for it, he needs to throw that right hand to the body, throw the jab to the body and use his jab more in the fight. Break the body and the head will eventually fall.
In this fight, Wilder will need to break fury down with jabs to the body and right hands to the body. Fury can be hit to the body and that will slow him down inviting the head shots
Fury outboxes Wilder for first half. Wilder catches Fury in the latter half and KOs him. Might require Wilder to bullrush Fury a little, but Wilder will do it. 2015 Fury could probably pull it off, but not 2018 Fury.