Wilder is the best conditioned Heavyweight in the division, fact, has supreme confidence, above average Ring IQ , a great jab when he elects to use it, tremendous speed for a guy of his size, dynamite in both hands plus if he can take Ortiz's best shots he is taking Fury's for sure. Fury's shining moment was beating a shot glass chinned WK on his home turf while throwing 3 punches a round vs WK's 1 punch per round...........possible the most crappy Heavyweight fight in decades.........WK just could not let his hands go except the last round when he tagged Fury with a decent shot.............Fury was seen as a featherfisted clown prior to the WK fight but afterwards was declared the GOAT beating shot to shid WK............for reference D/C level Purrity, Brewster simply walked a prime WK down with no finesse........the Golfer waxed him with a handful of lefts in pretty uncompetitive fashion and no skill Caveman Peter had him on the verge of collapse....and that was PRIME WK not the washed up version Fury pitty patted with. The problem is that Wilder WILL let his hands go and I can guarantee that Fury has never ever been hit on the head or body ,in the Ring or in sparring like that before..............Wilder will bring the heat like Fury has never seen before , this aint no Italian Pastry chef and as Seamus mentioned above he aint cashing those checks with his body anymore ......and even in WK shape he was wayyyyy open for the straight thru the pipe right. Wilder KO.......I just hope it is not some un competitive blow out or Fury runs and clinches himself into a total stinker decision loss.
I have to think that if Fury was really serious about winning the fight he would have insisted on a couple of more fights against better opposition to shake off the ring rust. The fact that he hasn't done that leads me to believe he is taking this fight solely as his pension plan.
Bingo, we see eye to eye here.............IMO its cash out time...........for reference when Tyson came out of the can he fought a complete no hoper but blew him out in one, fought some more maybe top 20 and blew them away and faced a decent Bruno who he beat up pretty good, at least he fought some decent fighters getting the rust off but it all unraveled when he stepped up to fight a guy obsessed fighting him. Same with Wilder, in his mind he cannot be denied.
Fury will get KO'd, then return to his drug and drink binge days, eventually having a very bad end. I'm not happy of gloating about it, I just see him as having a very fragile psyche. He's a bully, and when bullies go down they go down hard. He'll act like Al Gore did after losing to Bush although Fury already has the beard. Wilder will KO him utterly and completely. He will hit Fury with shots that Wlad was unable to get to Fury with because he won't let Fury push his head down more than once. And he can take shots....Fury doesn't hit as hard or as meaningful as Ortiz, and Wilder showed he can deal with adversity. I also agree that he's looking for a last payday. Maybe he won't admit it to us or even himself, but it's the height of insanity to get in there with a dangerous puncher like Wilder after only two miserable come-back bouts with real stiffs.
As a classic fighter fan, I am always wary of picking a fighter coming of a period of inactivity, who has had to drop a lot of weight. Having said that, I am going with Fury here. Even in his current dilapidated state, he is just too clever for Wilder. If Wilder wins it will be by stoppage, while well behind on the cards. So what outcome favors my world view? If Fury wins I will hold it up as a vindication of old school training methods, and old school tactics, but if Wilder wins I will point out that he weighed less than a lot of the old timers, and clearly took an old school approach to fighting weight. My critics will justifiably say, that this is the battle of the two guys that I didn't see coming!
I disagree in the sense that, if he waits another 10-15 month to get a few more fights in, that he may wind up in worse shape (physically and mentally) than he is now. So I tend to think, if he wasn't serious about winning, he'd just keep fighting the Pianeta's of the division and boasting about his big win from 3 years ago.
Fury will win if he is in good shape and mental state, and it seems like he's on a mission. Wilder is all about that long right hand, Fury can and should outbox him and can smother him inside and walk him down, cause of his size and better inside game. Wilder could get bullied by Fury on the inside considering he's a lot smaller and can't punch short, he's all about that leverage for that long right hand. Fury being the better and more complete fighter, both inside and outside, should win this one. Wilder with his punching power and stamina has a punchers chance.
Fury for me. As long as he comes in in shape which i think he will do. He is a very clever man in the ring and always finds a way to win, this to me though is his hardest fight to date. I also see it as a borefest, simply because TF knows that he is facing someone who has the potential to hurt him and possibly stop him. The tactics i see him employing are simple really, pretty much the same he used against wlad. Forget the layoff and the last Two opponents, each fight is different and wilder is completely different to what he has faced before. Fury will box and be very mobile, he will come in relatively light but heavy enough to lean all over Wilder when he comes in, and that is the key for me. The weight advantage he will almost certainly use, along with very good digs up close and inside, this is where i see Wilder blowing and see Fury stop an exhausted wilder around the 10th.
Fury is my pick, but not with great confidence. Wilder will always have the chance to KO anyone at any given moment and is yet not clear how much Fury's inactivity has effected him or whether he will prepare as he should.
Fury has the size and style to get the better of Deontay, but now more than ever there is a stark contrast with what he promises and what he delivers. It's the kind of over-sell hubris we saw with Chris Eubank Jr before getting taken to school. Those top level reactions are essential at the very top. They are no longer there. He's already admitted there is no higher mountain than Klitschko. The signs are ominous. I see an awkward, scrappy affair that ends around the mid-point thanks to that trebuchet right.
Fury by decision. Someone here said that Wilder is all about the right hand. That is right. Fury is clever enough to neutralize that weapon, much as he did Wlad. If he does that, the fight is his as he has the better skills.
My guess is that Fury will get a late stoppage over Wilder as long as his fitness holds up. Ring craft wise both fighters are like chalk and cheese so I would always go for the more talented of the two boxers, in this case Fury is head and shoulders above Wilder. That doesn't mean that Wilder couldn't stop him in a second with those windmills of his, but for me IF Fury's 85% of what he was, then he's my pick.
Fury of 3 years ago boxes the head off Wilder but his lay off seriously must leave question marks. Its not like Ali or even Tysons lay off, he drunk ate and snorted his way to what, 25,26 stone. His body has taken tremendous punishment outside the ring and fair play to him for dropping the weight but will he be strong at it? The one thing that is going for him is hes not coming back to face a joe frazier or a holyfield. Facing Wilder after 2 comeback fights (?) tells us very little. Hes either supremely confident of winning, which wouldnt surprise me, or hes cashing out, which im not completely sold on, but nevertheless is possible. Im going for the former but that doesnt necessarily mean a straight forward win. All things being equal, (fair judges and ref) i can see him eeking out a points win in a by-and-large uneventful fight with maybe the odd stand up moment as Wilder tries to go for it. Be interesting what happens if hes tagged but then again Fury is very effective at what he does, if he resembles anything like the 3yrs ago Fury