AJ wouldn’t get hit nearly as much as Chisora did and Usyk wouldn’t let his hands go as much either due to hesitation and fear of being caught by a genuine strong puncher.
Usyk hurt Chisora in the seventh and nearly had him down. Chisora chin is better than AJs meaning Usyk has the power to KO AJ like Ruiz did.
Usyk crumbles the first time Joshua lands, I’m amazed people who just watched that think Usyk is gonna mix it with the big boys. He doesn’t have the reach advantage he had tonight. He’d have to step into range just to pot shot let alone land anything. If he can survive until the late rounds maybe he can get to them if they gas but as a Usyk fan my self I know deep down he’s getting wrecked if he fights Joshua, Fury, probably even Wilder.
If Joshua can't establish a firm jab and hurt Usyk early he gets taken apart. Usyk is extremely effective against taller HWs that hang back and try to box with him. It's the shorter come forward sluggers like Nistor, Medzhidov and Chisora that cause him problems. I'd still pick Joshua at this stage, but I think it's a competitive fight and one which I don't think Joshua would be too keen to make right now.
There are really two AJs in my mind. One is the boxer, the boxer that won an Olympic medal and existed until about AJs fifteenth fight or so. The second was the guy who added all that muscle, looked sluggish but could bang. The guy who lost to Ruiz. If AJ the Instagram weight lifter model shows up Usyk will wreck him. If he’s learned his lesson AJ wins comfortably.
I think Joshua needs to take a compound approach. He lacks the pure boxing IQ to hang with Usyk and needs to impose some level of physicality on proceedings without bulking himself up to Overeem levels like he did in the past. If he adopts a Ruiz II gameplan I think he loses IMO.
This is Loma v Lopez x10 . Joshua is far to large and powerful. He would control every minute and dominate.
Chisora has no defence and was gassed out. Usyk wouldn’t land multiple shots on AJ and he would also be far too hesitant to try and punch in bunches against AJ. AJ by stoppage.
People are forgetting AJ got the utter **** beaten out of him by Andy Ruiz. Not to mention, Chisora hits hard. Did he hurt Usyk? No. My lord people just throw **** on a wall to see of it sticks.