The Joe Louis vs Billy Conn struggle - possible/probable whys & wherefores.

Discussion in 'Classic Boxing Forum' started by JohnThomas1, Apr 14, 2023.


  1. JohnThomas1

    JohnThomas1 VIP Member

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    The usual exhibit A for Joe Louis detractors is his poor showing against Billy Conn. Let's be honest, for all Conn's heart and skill it was indeed a poor showing from Louis as Conn came in under the Light Heavyweight limit. It should not have been this hard no matter what one thinks of Conn, especially given that he mostly out hustled him in range.

    So let's dig a little deeper into some likely causes regarding this poor showing, over and above Billy Conn.

    It's on record that while preparing to face Conn, Joe Louis had one of his very rare differences of opinion with Jack Blackburn. Louis believed it best that he train down and come in under his normal weight for Conn as Conn was a small fellow and very fast. Seamon (co-trainer/understudy) and Blackburn both disagreed but "couldn't budge" Louis from his desire to weigh below his usual weight.

    Now on paper detractors will scoff, as Louis only came in 2 1/4 pounds under his previous weight and 2 3/4 of a pound under the weight he came in for next fight after Conn. *We will address this item further down the track.

    Mannie Seamon, now head trainer of joe, said in the lead up to Louis - Conn II, "actually Louis was at his worst for the last Conn fight". "He'd had six fights in six months just before that and was in no shape at all. He was too fine because he had no rest and no recreation".

    A look at Joe's record shows this to be precise. After not fighting for 6 months he fought mid December, late January, mid February, later March, early April, later May and then against Conn himself in June.

    That schedule is insane and it's fair to say that Louis would have been training (and fighting!) virtually non stop for that 6 month period. The three fights leading into Conn went 13, 9 and 7 rounds respectively.

    Now before anyone pins me, Conn himself did have four fights during the same period which, while notable is exactly on Joe's level either. On top of this Conn was actually training up in weight and coming in the heaviest he had in his career in all four fights which is notably different from training down as Louis always did.

    * So we come to my previous point. Tho Louis was only a few pounds heavier than his norm the fact that he was already trained down and then lost an extra 2+ pounds in the few weeks leading into Conn is quite significant.

    Given the fact that Louis was in fighting condition (and fighting monthly) from December 1940 until June 1941 when fighting Conn and on top of this training down another couple of pounds for Conn, i believe it is highly likely Mannie Seamon is spot on and Louis was, in actuality, overcooked.

    Louis had never fought this sort of schedule since his first year and a half, some 6 years prior and he never did again. The guy was very likely overtrained.

    Now this isn't to take away from Conn's brilliant showing, but i think common sense supported by multiple facts does lead us to this conclusion.

    Thoughts?
     
    Last edited: Apr 15, 2023
  2. Melankomas

    Melankomas Prime Jeffries would demolish a grizzly in 2 Full Member

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    Conn was just that good IMO. Louis might've had a crazy schedule but those weren't very competitive fights.
     
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  3. JohnThomas1

    JohnThomas1 VIP Member

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    Abe Simon wasn't very competitive? Absolutely he was. Baer dropped him in the first round. Over and above those fights do you think being in training for 6 months non stop and staying lean would take its toll?

    Joe Louis Stops Abe Simon in Thirteenth Round
    Associated Press, March 22, 1941

    The impossible didn't quite happen tonight but it came close enough to throw a substantial scare into Joe Louis and his fistic family before the Bomber was able to do his work.

    With just a whale-sized heart and a dazzling left hand, the New York giant, Abe Simon—the big target who wasn't supposed to have one chance in a million of lasting more than three rounds—gave Louis a "helluva" fight of it for 12 full heats before running afoul of the Brown Bomber's big guns in the thirteenth.
     
  4. Greg Price99

    Greg Price99 Boxing Addict Full Member

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    After losing to Schmeling, up until retiring after JJW 2, Louis went 34-0 over 12-years, including 26-0 in world title fights.

    As brilliant as he was, he was human. He'd have had fights where he was carrying niggles and injuries, fights that coincided with stressful periods in his personal life, fights where he became complacent and/or underestimated his opponent and fights where the style match up favoured his opponent. He would have had fights where more than one of those things applied simultaneously.

    Yet he defended his titles more times over a longer period than any lineal champion in history, not just at HW, but at any weight. Even when one or more of the above factors were against him, facing a world class opponent, he still won.

    Like every fighter in history, there were fights when he exceeded expectations, e.g. Schmeling 2, and nights when he fell below them and his normal standards, e.g. Conn 1. The mark of a great champion is finding a way to win on those off nights.

    As for the specific reasons Louis performed below his usual standard in Conn 1, beyond stating the obvious that some off nights during an 11 year reign are inevitable, my guess is it was a combination of :

    1) Complacency and undestimating Conn - I've read that Louis was more focused on the fight not appearing like an unfair mismatch, rather than concentrating on how he'd win it, and wanted to come in under 200lbs so the optics of the weight disparity didn't seem so extreme;
    2) Weight - Linked to point 1 and as per the reasons you postulate John.
    3) Bad style match up - whilst it's somewhat of a myth that Conn ran/outboxed Louis on the outside, he actually crowded Louis quite a bit, Louis was a puncher. He liked to have his feet planted and to get set to throw his awesome combinations. Conn wasn't running, but he was always active, always either moving his feet or punching, stopping Joe from getting set and keeping him off balance, making it difficult for Louis to fight his usual fight.
    4) Conn was a brilliant fighter who fought a terrific fight- no supplementary commentary required here.

    Yet, despite these factors, Louis won by KO. His record against Billy Conn is 2-0 (2). I.e. whilst the journey wasn't perfect, the final outcome in terms of results were exactly that.

    People often use the Conn fight to undermine Louis. On the contrary, for the reasons I've laid out above, I think the Conn fights, when viewed with balanced context, give an insight into what a great champion Louis was.

    More title defences and a longer reign than any champion, at any weight, in all of boxing history, doesn't happen by accident.
     
  5. JohnThomas1

    JohnThomas1 VIP Member

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    That's a fine post Greg. I've also read about Louis coming in lighter due to, almost guilt i guess. The on record comments of Mannie go against that tho which brings us to an interesting junction. There's also a strong chance that Louis did actually say that as well, at some point.
     
  6. JohnThomas1

    JohnThomas1 VIP Member

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  7. Pugguy

    Pugguy Ingo, The Thinking Man’s GOAT Full Member

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    I wanted to rewatch the fight before commenting.

    Louis was definitely sub par in my eyes - a curiously subdued performance until it became urgent to act.

    I saw many opportunities for Louis to land head shots but he wasn’t pulling the trigger. While Conn was boxing very well I didn’t necessarily see Billy’s evasive efforts as the ONLY reason for Louis not throwing more shots.

    Even in close, Louis wasn’t exercising his proven capabilities to land short, powerful head shots. Rather, he seemed to be heavily inclined to only gun for the body (which he did do very successfully).

    So, that’s how I saw the fight materially. A sub par Louis who patiently but ultimately caught up with Conn.

    Louis’ body shots and Conn’s movement took their toll and eventually set Billy up for the KO. Conn didn’t blow it - rather, he did exceedingly well but again, Joe simply caught up.

    The question then is WHY was Joe so flat?

    As already highlighted, Joe’s fight schedule was one of heavy volume and high frequency.

    As such, even before addressing the quality of opposition, probabilities dictate the greater likelihood of a less than an outstanding performance from time to time.

    Sort of along the lines of some older threads we used to have “If superior fighter X fought inferior fighter Y a given number of times, how many fights might fighter Y win?

    Now I don’t want to be a conspiracy theorist but what possibility is there that Joe might’ve carried Conn to some degree, at least early in the fight?

    That might’ve allowed Billy to build up a head of steam that Joe didn’t project for - thus causing the fight to get away from Louis a bit, making it harder for Louis to reign it back in when he decided to step up his game.

    Now before anyone starts grabbing for a straight jacket (I’m an XL btw), IF we can accept the possibility that Joe came in a bit lighter in in order to make the contest “appear” more equitable in terms of size - OR even to literally make the contest more equitable and fair - then it’s not out to lunch to think that Louis perhaps could’ve pedalled himself back for x number of rounds in the early going.

    All in all, the fight was an anomaly for Joe, imo.

    Certainly not a fight to be overweighted disproportionally to Joe’s disadvantage or necessarily extrapolated into success for every other Tom, Dick and Harry mover types.

    One last thing (“FFS, finally!” I hear you all say) another errant conclusion for this fight is “If little Billy Conn could do that, imagine what a sized up Billy Conn type might’ve done…”

    That conclusion ignores the obvious fact that Conn’s (lesser) size was an integral component to his success - bringing along its own advantages (including speed, mobility and stamina) that wouldn’t necessarily be enjoyed by a sized up version of himself.

    And, ONE final final thing…ah, scratch that, I’ve lost my train of thought….
     
    Last edited: Apr 15, 2023
  8. JohnThomas1

    JohnThomas1 VIP Member

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    Another ripping post. You and Greg covered a helluva lot of ground.
     
  9. Pugguy

    Pugguy Ingo, The Thinking Man’s GOAT Full Member

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    Cheers - likewise to your thread opener JT.

    I saw that everyone else was employing eye catching, bolded lettering and I thought, dammit, so will I - notwithstanding my lack of content therein. :D
     
  10. JohnThomas1

    JohnThomas1 VIP Member

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    I love bold!!!!!
     
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  11. Pugguy

    Pugguy Ingo, The Thinking Man’s GOAT Full Member

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    BOLD IS GOOD

    - Gordon Gekko
     
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  12. Tin_Ribs

    Tin_Ribs Me Full Member

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    Yeah John, I mostly agree with what you, Greg and Pug have said. Louis was overtrained and unrested coming into the fight and looked flat. I've read Seamons take on thing before, a few years ago iirc. I'm not convinced that he carried Conn though or lost extra weight for altruistic reasons, pro fighters don't think like that in my experience. It's possible though, maybe more a half subconscious thing or small nag in the back of his conscience.

    I thought he struggled to adapt to the counter-intuitive way Conn fought in long spurts, up close hustling, flurrying and denying him the traction, room and the time to set his feet. But mixed with clever movement and attacking quickly when Joe was on the half turn. I think his durability and fire surprised Louis too, he just didn't go away even when hurt and kept turning Louis back. And was able to get on his bike enough of the time when necessary to reset and buy time. The Jofre - Harada fights remind me of it a bit.

    Conn just fought the fight of his life really in a way that's hard to do more than once. Montreal Duran, Tokyo Douglas type bollocks. Or rather, they fought like him I suppose, but got over line where he failed, though his task was bigger in fairness.
     
  13. Greg Price99

    Greg Price99 Boxing Addict Full Member

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    Top quality posts in this thread John, Pugguy and Tin Ribs. Pleasure reading them.

    It was reading a Joe Louis biography around 20 years ago that took my interest in boxing history to new levels. My recollection is there was pressure (I don't recall who from, or even if it was applied from Louis to himself) on Louis to weigh sub 200lbs, for optical reasons, in a bid to sell the fight to the press and public as competitive. I may still have the book in my loft, I'll take a look later and provide more detail if I find it.
     
  14. Bokaj

    Bokaj Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Both had had a pretty hectic schedules, Conn actually three days less from his last fight, so don't know if that did much difference even though Louis had had more over the previous six months as you say. The difference was probably more that it was just another title defence for Luis, while it was the chance to become HW champion for Conn.

    I also don't put too much credence in that such experienced fighters would overtrain. More just that Conn was really good and Louis probably had a bit if an off night.
     
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  15. JohnThomas1

    JohnThomas1 VIP Member

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    Cheers mate, great input.
     
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