Jermell vs Lil Timmy isn’t as competitive as people think

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by ellerbe, Jun 29, 2023.


  1. ellerbe

    ellerbe Loyal Member Full Member

    39,329
    16,174
    Jul 25, 2014
    Jermell will win in dominant fashion.

    Like Floyd would say, Zoo is straight up and down, no special effects.

    #lionsonly
     
    Keleneki and drenlou like this.
  2. J_metal

    J_metal Active Member banned Full Member

    521
    415
    Jun 22, 2023
    Then give him a call n pump his ass up bcuz he sure needs it judgin by his actions n words

    N unless ur the real dicksukin ellerbe then top quoting Floyd u look sad as it is
     
    Jackman65, vast, Dangerwood84 and 2 others like this.
  3. drenlou

    drenlou VIP Member

    76,098
    40,642
    Jan 22, 2015
    Tyszu has improved alot but even a 70% Charlo will be too much for him. He's going to get stopped.
     
  4. Sandman_

    Sandman_ Undisputed Full Member

    5,192
    6,783
    Feb 20, 2009
    I gave Timmy a 5% chance of winning leading up to the scheduled fight in January. I said before any delays that Tim's chances of winning would go up by 10% for any additional fight he had before the fight with Charlo occurred. Not expecting him to get in any additional fights, I thought he could improve his chances of winning with a really good training camp featuring high-quality, world-class sparring. That could add 10-20% to his chances. I said all that anticipating Tim & Charlie would fight in January. Since the delay, Tim has got another couple of fights in. The Tony Harrison fight was good value & Tim would have picked up the full 10% from it. As spectacular as the win against Ocampo was, you don't gain much from a first-round blowout. I'll stick with my mathematical analysis though & say that Tim's chances of winning against Charlo are up from 5% to 25%. I also stand by the assessment that with a really good training camp, Tim can increase his chances of winning by another 10 to 20%.

    What does it all mean? Jermell is still the favourite but Tim's chances of beating him in the second half of the year are significantly better than they were in January. And don't underestimate what can happen to a fighter when they get hit by a Tszyu. Even blokes with sterling chins can turn to mush if they can't see where the punches are coming from. And there's always been a certain percentage of very good fighters who can't see where the punches are coming from against a Tszyu. If Charlo happens to be one of them, the titles will change hands.
     
    MidniteProwler and Drinquor like this.
  5. northpaw

    northpaw Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

    17,325
    10,935
    Jun 5, 2010
    Little Twin by UD12 :clap:
     
    ellerbe likes this.
  6. box33

    box33 Boxing Addict Full Member

    4,957
    3,442
    Jul 25, 2021
    Yeah i see your point about the second half of the fight & he is younger i believe plus Tim vs Castano would also be a real good intriguing fight no matter the result with this one.
     
    Sandman_ likes this.
  7. Fogger

    Fogger Father, grandfather and big sports fan. Full Member

    8,448
    13,571
    Aug 9, 2021
    You're a ban waiting to happen.
     
  8. Lesion of Doom

    Lesion of Doom Boxing Addict Full Member

    4,950
    7,630
    Jan 21, 2015
    Charlo is more talented and I think will win still, but something seems off to me with the Charlos.
     
  9. Drinquor

    Drinquor Texas Representative Full Member

    8,034
    9,968
    Apr 16, 2011
    Excellent analysis and I agree with your percentages
    I would add in the recent depreciation of Charlo’s value, based on now over a year of inactivity due to a left hand injury. I would suggest a -5% that can get to -10% the longer this all drags out
     
    KiwiMan and Sandman_ like this.
  10. The Cryptkeeper

    The Cryptkeeper Boxing Addict Full Member

    3,038
    5,826
    May 9, 2023
    I remember the same bull**** being said about his dad when Kostya fought the “invincible” Zab Judah.

    Charlo gets KO’d here. And pretty easily too. So in that sense, I agree with the title of this thread.
     
  11. ellerbe

    ellerbe Loyal Member Full Member

    39,329
    16,174
    Jul 25, 2014
    Eh he’s just an alt, his main will remain.
     
  12. C.J.

    C.J. Boxings Living Legend revered & respected by all Full Member

    46,772
    15,899
    Apr 14, 2009
    ROFLMAO You get sillier.Tim The Soul Snatcher Tyszu will take care of Jermell . Floyd wasn't a FIGHTER he was always A diva pandered to & protected
     
  13. kiwi_boxer

    kiwi_boxer nighty night, ellerbe ☠ ☠ ☠ banned Full Member

    5,716
    5,747
    Aug 25, 2013
    Yawn. Not even Jermell shares the same confidence.

    #liesonly

    @ellerbe ban bet.
    Jermell wins, I leave.
    Tim wins, you're gone.

    Sign the contract, big fella.
     
    Jackman65, J_metal, JOKER and 4 others like this.
  14. ellerbe

    ellerbe Loyal Member Full Member

    39,329
    16,174
    Jul 25, 2014
    Lol your little boyfriend @MidniteProwler liked your comment. Why would I take that bet? How do I know you’re a man of your word?

    I’m down to do an avatar bet or a week or 2, but why would I risk a perm ban bet if I can’t trust you? Also anything can happen in boxing, Mell could get injured, a lucky punch can be landed.
     
  15. kiwi_boxer

    kiwi_boxer nighty night, ellerbe ☠ ☠ ☠ banned Full Member

    5,716
    5,747
    Aug 25, 2013
    I'm one of the few on here that can be trusted. @JOKER can vouch for me.
    [url]https://www.boxingforum24.com/threads/witness-some-a-grade-crow-consumption-joker-come-collect-your-winnings.678151/#post-21417384[/url]

    Sign the contract, big fella.

    You can't duck me.

    #liesonly
     
    Jackman65 and TheShellofKell like this.