Some odds of note: Crawford - 150 Spence + 138 Draw +1400 Crawford pts +175 Crawford KO +225 Spence pts +260 Spence KO + 550 Goes the distance -190 Does not go +138 KO b/w 9-12 +400 Crawford KO 7-9 +700 Crawford KO 10-12 +800 Spence KO 7-9 +1200 Spence KO 10-12 +2000 At least one KD -110 No KDs -125 Thoughts: There's something here for everyone to like. As you can see, the odds are very close and have tightened a bit this week. I think the best value plays are the late KO bets. If these guys truly push each other, I can foresee an exhausted fighter getting stopped late or the corner throwing in the towel. My opinion remains that Crawford is likely to win and I think there's a decent chance of a stoppage, and that +800 is a big shiny number for a late Crawford KO.
Definitely agree about value in the late KOs. Both being dogs, if the fight is close late. each will want to put a stamp on the fight and be more aggressive. Also, at least one KD is -110? Seems like a great value.
Friday morning update, odds have tightened slightly further but the prop bets are unchanged: Crawford -145 Spence +130
Are you able to place one on both guys winning & still make a profit with the loss? I always wanted that as an option haha.
Would it even be worth it though as you minus the loss which would probably leave you with very little right?
This is the first and only boxing match I will ever bet on. I put $200 on Spence. Not a huge bet but the odds were at 2.4 so that is tough to pass up.
You would be better off just betting less on one fighter. There's no way to outsmart the casino. I mean maybe you could find different sportsbooks with wildly different odds or something, but it seems unlikely. What you can do to hedge is: (1) Bet $50 on Fighter A to win at -120 (so you win about $45); and (2) Bet $10 on Fighter B to win by KO in rounds 10-12 at +700 If you win (1), you net out at $35 If you win (2), you net out at $20 Or you're out $60. In the long run you are going to lose most likely, so I only ever bet "fun" amounts rather than take any real risk. It's just additional interest in the fight really.
The way odds are posted in Canada this means you multiply your $ bet by the odds. In my case $200 becomes $480 so Spence is the underdog.