Fury to win by decision is going for 525+ - 600+ looks like a good bet. My theory is that Francis is a low volume striker and without a need to wrestle, he can go the distance with Fury without completely gassing. Fury will keep him outside with the jab, dancing and weaving. Francis will tie him up a lot and try to impose some form of grappling with limitations. Francis big square head and solid chin will allow him to eat Fury's punches and not collapse like Deontay Wilder did. Add to the fact that they are somewhat friendly, I can see Fury putting on a show for the audience and not going 100% Given the fact that Whyte made it to the late rounds, i can see Francis going to score cards in a one-sided fight with Fury winning every round.