First thing is I dont care. For me second fight is not needed. Only for Usyk and Fury wallet. The first fight was historical. Full unification, both best, both with no losses. Magic disapear. Now even if results will be different Usyk write history forever. This small dude beat all best hw and became one of best boxer ever. What can Fury change? Even if he win its still 1:1 between them, and Usyk done 10 x better in boxing than Fury. For me this fight is even not soo interesting. But what I expect? I expect even worse nightmare for Fury than in first fight. He probably will start fight more focus and more offensive active than first time. He probably even will win first rounds. Problem is fact that more work need more energy. If Fury dont destroy Usyk to halftime he start slow down. And here we got Usyk whos stamina and recovery are fuk in Special. He will step on the gas where Fury will be exosted. And then he dominated second half and even probably can put Fury on canvas. Wins decision or TKO. Fury was best prepared for first fight. He give himself soo many times as possibile. Lost weight, get used to it, probably done some good steroid cycle and he still cant do it. He cant be much better. And he even can be worse. We must remeber that before first fight he looks nervous and seems to be little afraid of Usyk. Now deep inside he actually knew that Ukraine Man is better than him and even can KO him worse than Wilder. Fury mental can be now all about money. He dont care more probably. He cant be remeber as he always planned. No more.
I will not be surprised if Fury runs over him. I know this is a minority view but he lost a close decision to a very good Usyk. I think Fury adjusts well, has a good boxing brain and if he has a good camp, heavy sparring that he likes, he'll be better prepared, fitter, stronger and I've always felt the best version of Fury beats the best Usyk...that said, Usyk may similarly improve...but, I'm hanging my hat on Fury by clear points or late stoppage
Fury comes out more aggressive and maybe wins the opening rounds; however this only means he is more liable to get caught himself and/or gas. After a good Fury start I see Usyk taking over, possibly stopping Fury or at least dominating the later rounds to claim a decision.
Fury had no trouble landing those shots in the mid rounds. Yes, Usyk is more than capable of making adjustments to mitigate these shots, but he's not invincible.
Fury dictates from the get go focused no messing around, dominates the early fight, Usyk preserves himself and pretty much drops the first 4 rounds (but lots of biased scores giving some to Usyk for silly reasons) Usyk then starts picking up the pace and they start trading mid rounds, one to Fury, one to Usyk. Fury is tired and is forced to coast the final 4 rounds to remain defensively sound, unable to win the rounds. Finding the odd combination but not enough. The fight is again very close to the scorecards, no major trades like the first fight. No more than 2 rounds between them. 1,2,3,4,7,11 Fury. Rest to Usyk. Fight is a draw. Nothing between them. They give Fury the nod to setup the trilogy. Usyk fans go beserk claiming robbery when it clearly wasn't.
I expect Fury to come in at a lighter weight in the hope having superior conditioning 2nd time around will be enough to not fade so badly late in the fight. I also expect Fury to make it a closer fight 2nd time around, he isn't Joshua, he actually has ring IQ and will no doubt come in with a better plan than Joshua did. But in the end it won't be enough, Usyk will again target the body early and it will again pay dividends late in the fight and in the end is the smarter fighter and that again will be the difference and wins another SD on the scorecards. I wouldn't be shocked if Fury won the decision in a closer 2nd fight that most think he narrowly loses, as I really thought the first fight was pretty clear cut for Usyk yet was a SD.
Fury has reviewed his second Wilder fight when he came out aggressively and punched Deontay's lights out because he already survived his best shot. So Fury will look great in the couple rounds. Problem is: Usyk ain't the Bronze Bomber. He's not going to stupidly stand and trade with Fury. Usyk wins, this time with no issues Even the corrupt Brit judges will score properly
Usyk & his team are very smart, they had a VERY specific gameplan to fight Fury. Meanwhile Fury knew to come in with all his tool then adapt on the fly. He messed around in the early rounds having fun and dropped rounds. He then got into gear and dominated. Then he found Usyk is a tough cookie got tired and Usyk took over a slowing Fury. If Usyk comes the same way this fight it always coming down to energy outputs and focus. Usyk took a lot of risk in the fight and gave everything which people seem to miss. These two are so great they are defined by a small margins. They obey the laws of thermodynamics and them laws dictate. Excluding punches that do enough damage that could result in a knockdown which is how Usyk found his way back into the fight.