The Canelo vs Crawford prediction thread.

I'm starting to think that most here don't actually watch the fights. Y'all just chant random things because you heard the next man say it and because you personally aren't a fan of that fighter, you repeat it........

Crawford fights nothing like Stevenson. Which nothing is wrong with Stevenson's style either. People like to quote that boxing is a sweet science, but when someone masters the art, everyone complains that he isn't standing in front of his opponent just allowing himself to get hit.

Back to Crawford who has above average defense, but he is one of the best closers in the sport as well. There isn't an opponent on his resume he didn't come downhill on in attempt to dominate. He went on like a 12 fight KO streak up til his last fight in which he had an opponent who's main goal was to NOT get knocked out.

Why don't y'all hold guys like Madrimov to the same standard as Stevenson..... Stevenson averages more punches per round than what Madrimov threw at Crawford for the first 7 rounds.

 

If Crawford comes in under 155 pounds I like his chances. I think a muscled up Crawford is a bad idea.

I think he’ll have a ton of ring rust which will account for Crawford’s slow start. Gonna give Canelo the first 4 rounds..easy

I also think Canelo is ripe for the taking based on ring age.Crawford is gonna switch stances for a bit to see if Canelo can adjust. I see Canelo knocking Crawford down when he switches..

Wouldn’t surprise me to see Crawford on the bicycle by round 7..

if Canelo can’t get the lighter fighter out, that’s his fault..

Canelo will gas out and not chase.

these guys are basically the same height but different body builds.

 

Canelo easy UD or late TKO.

 

Logic says Canelo because of his size and power. If Crawford were to win it would be a very significant win in the history of the sport.

 

I would bet on Canelo. He should be the favorite.

I also bet on Hagler over Leonard.

 

There’s a reason why Canelo is not a big favorite compared to his last half a dozen or more recent fights. The public thinks an upset is brewing.

 

I’ve never understood how betting odds work. Are they based in the opinion of the general public? I always imagined some boxing experts who work for the bookies decided on the odds lol

I’m clueless when it comes to betting,

 

The odds are based on the betting agent making as much profit as they possibly can. They are a business and like all businesses, they are out to make as much money as they can.

 

I can see Crawford winning the first half of the fight pretty easily, but slowly getting pushed back and then stopped in the 2nd half of the fight. Canelo TKO9.

 

I will be pulling for Bud. But it is difficult for me to pick. I just don't know how the added weight will affect him. We know Canelo belongs there. Can't wait for this one.

 

What are you basing your analysis on? It's definitely not history, things that have actually happened consistently and show themselves to be true......

Crawford can't weigh in at or under 155lbs and fight for a title at 168lbs. Not sure how long you have been watching this sport, but each division has it's weight limits and if you are weighing under the minimum of that division, you don't have status in the larger division. 155lbs is the minimum for the middleweight division. Canelo's titles are at super middleweight (168lb maximum). Why would Crawford come in weighing 14+ pounds lighting than his opponent. Especially being that he's on record for weighing over 190lbs since February of this year. And it's not like he was fat.

There are a lot of fighters who brag about always being in the gym. Well, Crawford is one of those who actually does stay in the gym. He's been fighting once a year since the pandemic. Every fight but one has ended in a stoppage. Crawford takes care of his body with passion, from no partying, to no drinking, no smoking, no red meat, etc.... Ring rust has never been a factor with him. As far as Canelo gaining the first 4 rounds easily...... There was a certain fighter who was smaller than Crawford and had been off for a year before fighting Canelo who actually got the best of Canelo for the fist 4 rounds of the fight.... Amir Khan. Ring rust applies to fighters who aren't disciplined enough to stay in at the very least, sparring shape outside of camp. Guys like Errol Spence Jr, blew up to dang near 200lbs when he wasn't in camp. He dranked and partied, then turned on a switch when he had a fight coming. Crawford and his camp prides themselves on always being ready to go from the moment the offer is made.

Crawford switches, it's because he's got another angle he's coming at Canelo with. Canelo is flat foot. How is he going to be in position to hit Crawford while switching if he hadn't knocked him down while Crawford stands in front of him....

When has Crawford ever been on "the bicycle" especially as early as round 7. Crawford is built on conditioning and at one point in time was labeled one of the most dangerous finishers in the sport with every opponent he faced had been stopped with the exception of Viktor Postol who had to pick himself off the canvas twice vs Crawford.

You don't think this contradicts what you said of Canelo earlier?..... If Canelo is winning the first 4 rounds easily due to Crawford's ring rust, and Crawford should be "on the bicycle by round 7". That would suggest that Crawford on shows himself to be competitive for a round maybe 2 before he decides to retreat from the action........the "lighter fighter" (though Crawford weighs more than Canelo as we speak) shouldn't have legs to run from Canelo, thus, Canelo shouldn't have to chase him.

Crawford is actually heavier currently with longer arms. He and his trainer and strength and conditioning coach have talked about how much of their camps they had to dedicate to get Crawford to cut muscle weight just to make 147/54..... They expressed that now that they don't have to do that, Crawford is a much better position physically to compete. Now their word could be a bunch of B.S..... we don't know for sure, but they have yet to stir us wrong on preparing Crawford for his opponents. They gave us verbatim, exactly what they would do to Errol Spence Jr and the excuses that the public would come up with after they do it.... After 5 years of chasing Spence, it happened exactly as they said it would be. Bernie the Boxer told everyone that Crawford will make it look easy.

Now, we are hear at the doorstep of Canelo/Crawford. Until Crawford and his crew are proven wrong, I won't doubt their word that Crawford is more than ready to compete again Canelo regardless of all that reasons people claim Canelo will wash him out. Those same people are trying to put in place excuses to fall back on in case Crawford comes out on top.

 

Betting odds work based on the money coming in here in Las Vegas Has nothing to do with bookies or agents since they aren’t “legal” in Las Vegas.

if betting money comes in for Canelo, then the - odds will go up. If late money comes in for Crawford then the + money will go down.