What if Joe Frazier had lost the Fight of the century?

Discussion in 'Classic Boxing Forum' started by mr. magoo, Feb 24, 2009.


  1. mr. magoo

    mr. magoo VIP Member Full Member

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    Prior to his meeting with the great Muhammad Ali, Joe Frazier's resume was pretty solid. He had captured the olympic gold medal and was now the recognized world heavyweight champion by the sanctioning organizations. In addition, his record was now 26-0-0-23 with wins over Jimmy Ellis, Jerry Quarry, Oscar Bonavena, Buster Mathis, George Chuvalo, and Eddie Machen.

    Frazier's credentials were impressive to say the least, but would they have been enough to secure greatness had his most prized scalp been taken away? What if Muhammad Ali had done just enough to edge Frazier and take the decision in 1971? Furthermore, how do you think this would have effected Joe's career path? Would he have been forced to take a different road, perhaps facing a string of top raters in an effort to reclaim control of the division? Or would he have declined after losing his title, eventually fading completely out of the picture?
     
  2. McGrain

    McGrain Diamond Dog Staff Member

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    Let's be clear - win, lose or draw, Ali ruins Frazier in the FOTC. Took something from him that he could never ever get back. But on the other hand, Joe's fade was as much mental as physical. Like Johnson after Jeffries or Dempsey after Willard, he'd conquered his everest and some of the fire went out.

    So that's an unkown.

    Best guess? Frazier loses to Foreman, then loses II, then loses to Foreman again. I don't think he'd be in the top 10 without his victory over Ali, that's me. If you beat Ali but lose to Foreman, you had trouble with styles, if you lose to Ali AND lose to Foreman, you're a guy who struggles with top drawer opposition.

    In terms of perception, that is.

    It's a huge win, the biggest win in the history of HW boxing IMO.
     
  3. mr. magoo

    mr. magoo VIP Member Full Member

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    A reasonable view.
     
  4. Duodenum

    Duodenum Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    I believe Joe had an HOF resume after the Foster win. He'd cleaned up the division, and clarified the title picture at a time when boxing desperately needed that. Although losing the FOTC would have stunted his place in history some, it wouldn't have damaged him as much as losing the "Battle of Broken Jaw" (BOBJ) would have diminished Ken Norton. (Remember, Kenny only took a split decision in that one.)

    Smoke's mental focus would have remained intact. Manila might have had a different outcome with a fully conditioned and motivated Frazier. (Maybe even under 200 pounds in peak form for number three.) Smoke/Quarry II was an excellent win for Joe.
     
  5. mr. magoo

    mr. magoo VIP Member Full Member

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    You commented on the Quarry rematch. I agree that this was a great win for Joe. Jerry was coming off of what many called the best run of his career in 1973, before facing Joe for the second time in '74. I almost feel however that Quarry fighting Frazier and losing was a waste of an opportunity for both Jerry and his fans. After winning 5 strait in 1973 including victories over Shavers and Lyle, I think that a title fight with George Foreman would have been most appropriate. Quarry would have likely been killed, but at least he would have made more money in the process.
     
  6. Duodenum

    Duodenum Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    I've often wondered if Jerry wasn't battling a tremendous letdown after being denied a title shot he'd richly earned.

    As you know, I think Jerry had the chin, strength and style to take the title from George. Then, it would have been a matter of who got to Jerry first, and I believe that the first title shot would have gone to Joe, who was thought to be beatable by Jerry at that stage. (Ali would probably have been willing to step aside for a major payday title challenge at the winner of Frazier/Quarry II, who would have always been Joe. Ali/Quarry III wouldn't have been marketable.)

    About Quarry/Foreman, Jerry was able to take shots from Mac Foster, Shavers and Lyle, and George did not have the sort of attack which busted cuts open. Nor did power, size and strength intimidate Quarry. Ali psyched him out. Foreman could not have done so. Jerry would have drawn George into the ropes, then into deep water. Foreman did not have the handspeed or reflexes to trade with Jerry at mid-range. Greg Peralta proved that Jerry would not have been too small to deal with George, and Foreman was fresh meat for sharp counterpunching. George knew this from their experiences sparring together. Quarry would have probably gotten himself into peak condition under 200 pounds for a shot at Foreman, somebody he knew he could beat. Nobody punched out the fast starting Quarry early, and George would have tired first. Beyond that, Jerry showed against Joe Alexander how he could respond if Foreman did catch him early.

    Frazier would have always worn Jerry down. Ditto for a primed Ali. George didn't have the handspeed or endurance necessary to do this. Give Jerry an unmarked face and top conditioning, and Foreman would find himself in real trouble before he realized what was happening.

    I do think the outcome of a Foreman/Quarry title fight has major ramifications for a Frazier who had lost the FOTC, because it would mean a regaining of the championship for Joe. Frazier/Quarry II should have been for the title.
     
  7. Longhhorn71

    Longhhorn71 Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    Jerry was suppose to get the Foreman shot.......but "politics" prevailed and the Ali-Foreman fight was scheduled for Sept. 1974. (originally)

    The Quarry-Frazier winner was set for June 1974.

    Quarry would have had to go thru Frazier and Ali or Foreman to get the title....tough row to hoe.
     
  8. ChrisPontius

    ChrisPontius March 8th, 1971 Full Member

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    Depends on how he loses it, but i'd say he'd be a very solid champion. I'd rank him among Charles (as a HW): he beat several contenders and was the man for a while, but didn't have a very long reign and went down south rank quickly after that.
     
  9. mcvey

    mcvey VIP Member Full Member

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    He would have been 0-5 against the two best men he faced.
    Did any Heavy weight Champ, perceived as an ATG have a shorter prime?
     
  10. mr. magoo

    mr. magoo VIP Member Full Member

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    Had Frazier lost in their first meeting, I think it doubtful that there would have been two additional fights after. Its also debateable as to weather or not Frazier and Foreman would have crossed paths.
     
  11. mr. magoo

    mr. magoo VIP Member Full Member

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    I don't know if I agree that Quarry would have beaten Foreman. But I DO FEEL that he was deserving of the chance to face him for the title in 1974, and concur that had Jerry pulled a miracle out of the sky, it would have drastic effects on the careers of both Quarry and possibly Frazier...
     
  12. mcvey

    mcvey VIP Member Full Member

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    So would it have been a steady diet of Standers and Daniels then?
     
  13. mr. magoo

    mr. magoo VIP Member Full Member

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    Maybe, maybe not.

    I think that had he lost the title, he might have been forced to keep his standing alive by fighting some of the division's better contenders. Does that mean that we may have seen him in Quarry and Ellis rematches around say 1972 rather than 1974? Maybe. Perhaps we may have seen other fights such as Frazier vs Lyle, Frazier vs Shavers, Frazier vs M. Foster, or even a fight with stable mate Ken Norton ( unlikely however. ) Then again, he might have faded away altogether.
     
  14. mcvey

    mcvey VIP Member Full Member

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    Without the win over Ali ,would Frazier have made anyone's top 10 ATG Heavies?
     
  15. Bokaj

    Bokaj Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Not mine.