How Can You Accurately Measure Risk? Before Or After A Fight?

I'd say before the fight!

 

Risk.......... Hmmm Ricky Hatton sums this up nicely.

Fight the two best fighters in the world for huge money. If you lose so what. You still gets loads of money and can move down to your lower level again.

VERSUS......

Fight dangerous, unpopular mandatory fighters for £1m.

Froch.... fight Kessler for decent money... risk losing and end of big time career.

VERSUS

Fight Hopkins at lightheavy, if you lose you can still defend the WBC 168lbs title later.

 

This content is protected

 

no better explanation than this one..löl

 

Risk is always before the fight, that's why its called "risk" and not "result". How can something be evaluated as risk after a fight? Its like risking a £100 bet after the results are announced? You know the results so there's no risk involved.

BTW your examples are a bit screwed. A risk is something that is low odds of happening, ie Mosley KO Margarito. You are not suppose to get ran over when you walk out the house, Mosley was suppose to loose or at least not win by KO.

 

I picked Mosley to win too..thats irrelevant. WHo you or I pick doesnt change the odds, risk is based on odds. If 99/100 people think Mosley will loose and I think he will win, its still a damm big upset and big risk. Majority rules.

 

No they cant but moves and decisions are based on odds. Play with the stock market, all your decisions are based on odds. The tougher the odds, the bigger the risk. Christopher Columbus is regarded great because he proved the majority wrong...the world was not flat...just as Mosley win is regarded great because he proved the majority wrong.

 

Risk can be measured before the fight. Definitely . . . I'm not talking about the physical risk.

It's as simple as what you will lose against what you will earn in the fight. The stature, the % of losing against money.

 

Pacquiao vs Oscar is risky. It was a circus act.

 

:d:d

 

As in the words of Manny Pacquiao at the weigh-in prior to his fight against Hatton, he said, "You never know what is going to happen."

Plus, if you remember the PBF-Baldo fight, it was entitled "Pretty Risk." So you think it was prior?

See my point?

 

The whole point of risk is its a perception thing, so it is irrelevant after the fight, as the outcome is already known so any element of chance is taken out. Pac took a huge risk fighting Oscar, everyone thought it would be a massive challenge and one that he couldn't pull off, i am sure he had his doubts and knew he was taking a big risk. In the end he embarrased him with ease.