Nogueira looked shot last time out but if he`s not & it was just a freak one off (which I doubt) then Randy is getting submitted & not many will call for Nog-Fedor 4.
When you look at what the other guys are making on the Affliction cards, I think Fedor might be the only fighter getting a raise by going to the UFC. The UFC's first offer said no Sambo tournaments, termination possible with loss, and an ever renewing fight obligation with each win. If the UFC will drop the bull**** restriction on Comat Sambo competition, at least give Fedor a rematch clause with everyone he faces in case of a defeat, a deal can probably be reached.
Nogueira isnt submitting Randy. This isnt 2000 anymore Coutures BJJ game is near a Blackbelt level what exactly did Jacare do when they grappled ? Nothing and Nogueira isnt quite as good as Jacare.
Why is a Combat Sambo competition restriction bull**** on the UFC's part? I realize the odds of Fedor getting hurt are small, but it's still there - and they can't promote that to the base of American fans who are the backbone of the UFC's success.
The injury argument would be a basis for argument, but I think Fedor could say his training holds just as much chance of getting injured. I believe the real reason is because the UFC feels that a loss by Fedor in Combat Sambo threatens his status as an mma fighter. Now that has actually happened, and Fedor didn't suffer any noticeable reputation damage; I believe it will be less of an issue.