I'm going with my boy Dawson but it wont be easy cause Pascal like Dawson has speed and Dawson hasn't fought any speedy fighters in his career yet and neither has Pascal.
Unless Pascal can drag Dawson into a fight like Glen Johnson did in their first fight, i see Dawson cruising to a very comfortable points decision. If Carl Froch can effectively keep Pascal at bay with his jab (after the first 5 or 6 rounds of war) then i'm damn sure Chad can
Dawson is going to win this. Dawson will make pascal look one dimensional after the opening rounds. Too much speed and ring intelligence from Dawson.
Dawson wins he will control this fight with his jab and body attack. I see Pascal being competitive but he will be overwhelmed at times by Dawson's combo punching and length.
Pascals speed isn't anything too special its his reflexes that make him dangerous. If you watch the Froch fight the two of them aren't too much different when it comes to throwing straight shots. That doesn't boad well for him here.