British Forum BETTING thread

Discussion in 'British Boxing Forum' started by TFFP, Mar 1, 2009.

  1. KillerDeluxe

    KillerDeluxe Guest

    this will be his first game in a quite some while tho.....

    he will show his rust and not preform as great imo... i dont expect him to be good by at least his 3rd game.....
     
  2. WesT

    WesT Boxing Addict banned

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    It's gonna be his first game in 9 months. I think he will enjoy every minute of it.He probably missed football so he could be eager to play again.On the other side he could be rusty and out of it because he has spent his time beating serbian waiters at late hours in clubs.

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  3. KillerDeluxe

    KillerDeluxe Guest

    Mutu is a crazy freak, thats for sure. Weather its his cocaine addiction, or his weight loss pills etc....but the fact remains... he pretty much always plays 100% on the field. He has that E. European instinct. But I think he will get too overconfident....he won't be performing well til about game 3 or 4, like i said before. But maybe I am wrong. Hopefully I am not, cause I already made the bet. lol

    Like I said....wait for Mutu to adapt again to Seria A.....cause 9 months is a real long time...but im sure the hunger is there for sure.

    (Btw I took the handicap option so even if there is a draw in the game, my bet will be a push)
     
  4. WesT

    WesT Boxing Addict banned

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    I would like some info about the teams have a bad run and their game sucks and teams that are in a good run and all seems to come together. I haven't bet in a whille so I don't know anything about "the shape of the moment" . Some statistics will be great :)
     
  5. WesT

    WesT Boxing Addict banned

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    There was a good site with statistics but i forgot the name ...
     
  6. Toontoon

    Toontoon Boxing Junkie banned

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    I honestly couldn't recommend him highly enough, he uses a point a game (which is whatever you want it to be) and so far he's 7.87 points up this season.

    [url]http://www.football-elite.co.uk/201011_season.html[/url]
     
  7. Boxingnut5

    Boxingnut5 Member Full Member

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    you can't argue with the selections you have put up so far.
     
  8. cankerd

    cankerd Member Full Member

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    I tend to buy Racing & Football Outlook - the tips are pretty hit and miss, but the statistical sections are very good. Can't get it in every newsagent, but the supermarkets seem to carry it funnily enough.
     
  9. jgorst05

    jgorst05 Active Member Full Member

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    Boro to win today against bottom of the league Bristol city. 1.88 on betfair, I'm getting on for £100.
     
  10. Smackersmith

    Smackersmith Active Member Full Member

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    I thought that when they played QPR last week so I wouldn't say it's a banker. Although new manager syndrome will be on effect
     
  11. Boxingnut5

    Boxingnut5 Member Full Member

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    From an email I get:



    In-form Hernandez 5/1 to be United's Top Scorer
    Manchester United's new Mexican striker Javier Hernandez has been
    hitting the headlines recently after scoring both of Man Utd's goals
    in their 2-1 win at Stoke last weekend. He then followed that up by
    grabbing the winner for United in their Carling Cup game against
    Wolves on Tuesday night.
    The man nicknamed Chicharito "Little Pea" has now got 5 goals in his
    last 6 games for United.
    Before the season started Hernandez was available at 66/1 to be the
    Premier League Top Scorer, he's since been cut to 25/1.
    He's got 3 Premier League goals this season and can be backed at 5/1
    to be Man Utd's Top Premier League Goalscorer.
    I've got more about how you can make money from Hernandez's recent
    scoring form later on in this email...


    'Stats of the Week'...
    Our outstanding stats this week are for the North East derby on
    Sunday afternoon...
    Newcastle v Sunderland
    Sun 31st Oct, 1.30pm
    Ref: P. Dowd

    • 8 of Newcastle's 9 games have gone Under 10.5 Corners this
      season - including 3 of their 4 home games
    • All 4 of Sunderland's away games have gone Under 10.5 Corners
    • Newcastle's home games are producing an average of 8.5 corners
    • Sunderland's away games are producing an average of 7.5 corners



    Boost your profits with this lucrative Goals market...
    You may well chuck a few quid at individual markets at the weekend.
    The First and Any Time Goal Scorer markets are some of the most
    popular markets in the shops and online.
    But why not mix it up this weekend and look to a market that works
    in the same way, but gives you the option to boost your profits -
    depending on how many and at what time your player scores.
    Betting on Individual Players' Goal Minutes with Sporting Index also
    permits you to bet on a player NOT scoring. It works like this...
    Sporting Index predict how likely a player is to score a goal - and
    set a 'spread' in Minutes to reflect this. So for regular scorers
    spreads will be higher than for players who rarely score.
    Typical Spreads
    Regular scorer (think Drogba, Torres, Rooney, Chamakh): 34 - 37 mins
    Rare scorer (think Carragher, Gary Neville, Phil Neville): 2 - 4 mins
    As with all spread betting, you are betting higher or lower than the
    spread - 'buying' at the high number, or 'selling' at the low
    number.
    The Goal Minutes Total is calculated by adding up all the Goal times
    scored by your pick.
    So for example, if you bet on a player with a spread of: 22 - 25
    mins and he scores in the 44th minute - you win your stake
    multiplied by the difference between your 'buy' price and the actual
    result. In this case: 44/25 = 19 x £your stake.
    ALL Goals scored count to the final total. So if your pick scores 3
    Goals
    - in the 25th, 30th and 60th minutes, his Total Goal Minutes
    will be: 115 (25 + 30 + 60 = 115).
    The risk
    Your 'worst case scenario' in this instance is betting on a player
    who fails to score - as this counts as zero. This means you will
    LOSE the difference between your 'buy' price and 0. So using the
    same player as above - but this time he fails to score. You will
    LOSE 25/0 = 25 x £your stake.
    As you can see, this is a reasonably high risk market with potential
    for huge wins- and equally big losses. If you back a player with a
    high Spread and he fails to score, you can take a costly hit - so
    getting your stakes right is important.
    Hint: Take note of the substitutes with decent scoring records.
    Manchester United's Javier Hernandez is a player to note. For one
    thing, we know that with Wayne Rooney bathing in his money in Dubai
    and Michael Owen rubbing his hamstring, the young Mexican has an
    excellent chance of featuring in Saturday's match v Tottenham.
    Plus he has some handy goal form - he came off the bench to score a
    90th minute winner in the week. Scored twice last weekend (27th and
    86th minutes) and another late winner (85th) - again as a Sub - in
    Valencia last month.
    Hernandez has been awarded the following spread for Saturday: 24 -
    27

    Buying @ 27 for £2 stakes in the last two matches would've generated
    profits of: £126 and £172 respectively.
    Cash-in on players firing blanks
    You can also bet on players NOT to score, of course. If you think a
    player is in bad form, or coming up against a very strong defence -
    you can cash-in on his failure to find the net.
    For example, taking the Spread prices above - if you think that
    Hernandez will NOT score against Spurs, you would SELL @ 24. If he
    doesn't score you'll pocket 24 x your stake (24/zero x stake).
    The downside of this is, if the player you SELL actually does score
    - you then LOSE your stake x the difference between the SELL price.
    So the worst case scenario here would be Hernandez repeating his
    midweek heroics - and gets the winner in the 90th minute. Your SELL
    would then cost you 66 x your stake (90/ 24 = 66).


    The Perfect Ten...
    Here are the stats based predictions for the weekend's Premier
    League games...

    Game​
    Match Result ​
    Stats Bet​
    Arsenal v West Ham ​
    Arsenal ​
    Over 2.5 Goals​
    Blackburn v Chelsea ​
    Chelsea​
    Under 10.5 Corners​
    Everton v Stoke ​
    Everton ​
    First Goal After 27th Minute​
    Fulham v Wigan ​
    Fulham​
    Under 3.5 Cards​
    Wolves v Man City ​
    Man City ​
    Under 3.5 Cards​
    Man Utd v Tottenham ​
    Man Utd ​
    Over 2.5 Goals​
    Aston Villa v Birmingham ​
    Aston Villa ​
    Villa Most Corners​
    Newcastle v Sunderland ​
    Draw ​
    Under 10.5 Corners​
    Bolton v Liverpool ​
    Draw​
    Bolton First Goal​
    Blackpool v West Brom ​
    Draw ​
    Under 3.5 Cards​
     
  12. charlstonbigspu

    charlstonbigspu Well-Known Member Full Member

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    Ended up takin it out my weekend accumaltor just cos of the price. I take it Lemieux looked good again?
     
  13. Toontoon

    Toontoon Boxing Junkie banned

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    Has anyone listened to Easyodds football podcast?

    Most of their selections are based on stats and they throw up some interesting facts.

    [url]http://www.easyodds.com/sports-betting/tips-previews/premiership-football-podcast/news-22478.aspx[/url]
     
  14. WesT

    WesT Boxing Addict banned

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    Nec Nijmegen to beat Vitesse at 1.90 looks tempting. What you guys think ?
     
  15. Beeston Brawler

    Beeston Brawler Comical Ali-egedly Full Member

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    I fancy...

    Man City over Wolves 10/11
    Man Utd/Spurs draw 7/2
    Chelsea over Blackburn 8/15
    Everton over Stoke 5/8

    The accy pays 17/1.