Audley is going to try to stink the place out and bank on landing late when Haye has slowed down a bit. I think this is why he is training in high altitude... he really wants this fight to go beyond 8 rounds for a few reasons. 1. Haye will slow and his stamina will be called into question. He will be more susceptable to making mistakes. 2. Haye will feel pressure as each round goes on. He is expected to blast Harrison out and is 1/8 at the bookmakers. The longer the fight goes on, the better for Audley. Also, the more boring the fight is, the better for Audley. Nobody expects him to do anything spectacular. If the crowd get on Hayes back... as they will if the fight is boring and Haye has adopted the Valuev tactics... Harrison is going to like it. I think Harrison is banking on catching Haye with something big later in the fight. He won't be so aggressive early. I think the only thing Haye has over him is speed but Harrison can negate that with his skill... remember he won an Olympic gold. He is a left hander and is awkward himself. Haye knows he has to be careful because Aud can bang him out if he lands. WHat do you think Auds strategy will be? Will he come out and agressively try to land the 1-2 on Haye? Will he go on the backfoot or take the centre of the ring and push Haye back? (Haye might go on the backfoot voluntarily).
The danger for Harrison is that in trying to see the fight into the later rounds (I agree that could be a good idea for him) he gets KO'd because he isn't don't enough to keep Haye "honest". His other option is **** or bust before Haye gets himself settled. Its a fine line to tread.
Yes, he will need to be doing A LOT of feinting and throw some punches to keep Haye honest. Haye is just going to be loading up with quick 1-2's in the early going but if one of them lands I don't see Harrison getting up. Harrison will have a decent guard and use the jab for the first few rounds. He's not going to be throwing too many left hands. Its not hard to see him and Haye stinking out the joint for a few rounds. Harrison is a dangerous puncher himself so Haye will naturally be cautious.
He needs to keep the Jab active and throw that left hand every now and again just to make sure Haye picks his chances when going inside. If he lets Haye inside him he is done for he'll also need to watch for Haye countering the jab something he can do well. audley will either need to be quick to bring his hands back or follow it up with more than one shot to keep Haye thinking for the punch coming after it. Like Gaz says Audley will be looking to get this into the later rounds to get haye thinking about his Stamina.
Also, the only way I can see Harrison winning is with a left hand that he either throws in a 1-2 combination, or catches Haye ater he reaches in with a punch, like he caught Williams in their second fight.. Harrison anticipated the attack, moved back and then came back very quickly with a lead left hand. Remember, if he lands ONE left hand cleanly, the fight is over.
Do you think Aud can get this fight into the later rounds? I do. And if he does, the fight gets a lot more interesting.
Haye has power, reflexes, superior mental strength, heart over him to imo. Harrison needs to come out aggressively behind that jab, but cut the ring down as he does it, double and tipple it when he decides to close the killzone to put something together, however what he cant do if adopts this strategy, is not cut the ring down properly, or jab in the same rhythm, cause it will leave him open to counters if Haye can time his rhythm, he has to change the rhythm of when! he jabs, and make sure! he cuts the ring down, otherwise it wont work. Problem is, Harrison is too cautious to lead off with the jab and fight in that manner, only I dont see as he has any choice, he sits back and tries to counter with his aged reflexes, his lack of headmovement, he will get slaughtered, make no mistake about it, Haye likes, needs time to think and set up, thats when he is at his most devastating imo, Harrison's duty is to deny him that time and space, but not walk in and get blasted like Ruiz, but to maintain that safe distance by pressing him behind the jab. I know what Harrison is going to do though, cause its his temperament, personality to fight too cautiously, which is why it will most probably end very quickly. Harrison's chance will of come and gone by the time he see that straight left hand countering opportunity.
Harrison is very good inside.....people overlook that grossly. The left uppercut is the one that would/will get Haye backing up on wobbly legs.
The problem is that, in order to win, Audley has to fight like he's never been able to fight before. Thats a big ask to say the least....
Nice post. Haye does have heart and power over Aud id agree. I included reflexes in the speed category. I have to also agree that Harrison is going to be fighting too cautiously and this is going to be dangerous because he could get blitzed by punches he hardly sees coming, even though he will be looking for them. He needs to actively jab and be proactive about landing the left hand. But I don't think he will be proactive and I think he will sit back and try to counter Haye, which isn't the best strategy but it's his nature. He isn't really a natural fighter. It could make for a boring fight... depending on Hayes tactics. He will be a bit more proactive about landing the left when the fight goes beyond 7-8 rounds I think.
No he's not - when did this happen? He's useless inside, which is why Sprott was able to take him out on the inside. He's from the same school as Wlad - jab and grab, but at least Wlad is an offensive fighter.
And thats the problem, his ticket to win is to get out of his safe envelope, which is what he wont do imo.