British Forum BETTING thread

It's only up with one bookie at the moment and they're just pricing the outright winner. There's not much value in the 2/5 with Judah, so I would wait and see if the odds for method of victory come up. I fancy Judah to win inside the first 6 rounds.

 

:deal

I had a look on odds checker but there isn't anything to go on like you say. I was liking what V. Wallace had to say, in that it should be Judah inside 6 or a distance fight. Be interested to see if you can back the pair for a profit.

 

Bet365 have gone for Judah at 4/7, still pretty short, might even be worth chucking in an accumulator if they don't price it up further

Edit: Boylesports have Judah KO/TKO at 7/4 over the 12 rounds

 

Blackburn
Chelsea
Birmingham-West Ham Under 2.5 goals

Charlton 8/11 ( big bet )

 

Rich T - He is pretty good, I don't follow them every week but I would estimate he gets 6 or 7 out of 10 most weeks. Mind you some of them are probably odds on. A couple of weeks ago he picked:
Arsenal 2 Birmingham 1
Bet: Over 2.5 Goals - WON
Man Utd 2 West Brom 2
Bet: Over 2.5 Goals - WON
Newcastle 2 Wigan 2
Bet: First Goal After 26th Minute - LOST
Everton 2 Liverpool 0
Bet: Under 2.5 Goals - WON
Blackpool 2 Man City 3
Bet: Under 3.5 Cards - WON
Blackburn 0 Sunderland 0
Bet: Under 10.5 Corners - WON

which was the week I didn't have access to my PC and I didn't post his picks!!

 

E-mail fairy:

Recommended Bets
*
Date of Game: Saturday*6th November
Game: Sunderland v*Stoke City*- kick-off 3.00pm
Competition: Premier League
***
Selection:*Sunderland to win
*
Best Prices
2.12 with 12bet, Mansion88, Fun88
2.11 with Pinnacle
2.10 with various
*
Reasoning: I'm willing to forgive Sunderland's nightmare last weekend as a blip.*All teams will throw in a shocker from time to time, it's just unlucky for the Sunderland fans that theirs came against Newcastle.
*
Sunderland at home and Sunderland away are 2 very different propositions.*They have only lost 3*of 24 Premier League home games under Steve Bruce and all 3 of those*were*forgiveable coming against Chelsea, Man Utd and Villa (when Villa were up in 3rd last Xmas).*This season their home record is very impressive considering the strength of their opponents:-
*
DREW 2-2 v Birmingham
WON 1-0 v Man City
DREW 1-1 v Arsenal
DREW 0-0 v Man Utd
WON 1-0 v A.Villa
*
9 points out of*a possible 15*against that opposition is very decent.
*
Obviously a lot rests on how Sunderland's collective mental state sits. You will often see people say "Team A*will really want to win this today therefore they are a good bet" and that of course is generally nonsense. However*I do feel in situations like this when a team has been embarrased last time out there is a bit of truth in that. I remember last season looking into how teams bounced back after a particularly bad or embarrasing defeat and the results showed that there is def value in backing the "wounded animal" next time out.
*
Wigan losing 9-1 at Spurs last season but then beating Sunderland 1-0 at home next time out is a*prime example. I wouldn't include big losses at places like Chelsea, Man U, Arsenal etc in this mini system as big defeats there are almost par for the course but when a side like Sunderland gets hammered by a side like Newcastle it does seem to pay to back the loser to bounce back next time out.
*
Stoke are probably as good an opponent as we could have asked for. They have lost 4 of their 5 Premier League away games so far. They are the joint lowest away scorers in 2010 with only 10 goals in 14 games.*Sunderland have only conceded 9 goals in 14 games in 2010. Only Chelsea, Man Utd and Tottenham have a better home defensive record than that with 8 conceded. A strong home defence against a weak away attack is always a good start.
*
It seems a bit daft to talk about Sunderlands strong defence when they have just conceded 5 at Newcastle but you dont get a long term defensive record like Sunderlands by luck. I'm willing to cut them a bit of slack and I think they are a value price to bounce back to form.
*
**
--------------------------------------------
*
*
Date of Game: Saturday*6th November
Game: Real Sociedad v*Racing Santander*- kick-off 7.00pm
Competition:*La Liga
***
Selection:*Sociedad to win
*
Best Prices
2.23 with Pinnacle, SBObet, Canbet
2.22 with 12bet, Mansion88, Fun88
2.21 with 188bet, 5Dimes, Sportbet
2.20 with BetPhoenix, Skybet
* **
Reasoning:*Sociedad have made a strong start to the season at home:-
*
WON 1-0 v Villarreal
LOST 1-2 v Real Madrid
WON 1-0 v Espanyol
WON 3-0 v Deportivo
*
Very decent start with 3 wins*and a narrow dereat to Real*Madrid not a bad return at all. The*1-0 win against Villarreal is especially impressive as it is the only loss and*only time Villarreal have failed to score all season.
*
Santander have took just 1 point from their 4 La Liga away games this season although to be fair to them those 4 opponents were Real Madrid, Villarreal, Sevilla and Valencia so thats a tough set of games and you cant really tell how strong/weak they are.*
*
I think the key is to try and get on board with strong home teams as early as possible. You may get a few wrong but you only need to get one or two right and you have yourself a nice return. At the moment Sociedad are showing signs that they may be*the next Mallorca or Espanyol so I'm willing to take a bit of a risk*and go with them.
*
**
--------------------------------------------
*
*
Date of Game: Saturday*6th November
Game:*Espanyol v*Malaga*- kick-off 9.00pm
Competition:*La Liga
***
Selection:*Espanyol to win
*
Best Prices
2.0 with Coral, Eurobet
1.95 with StanJames, BlueSq, 888bet
1.92 with*5Dimes, Sportbet, Chronicle
1.91 with*188bet, Bwin, 12bet, Mansion88, Bet365, VictorChandler, WilliamHill, Boylesports, Greek, Jenningsbet
****
Reasoning:*Continually surprised at the odds available for Espanyol at home. They were a favourite of mine at the back end of last season and dont see any reasons why we shouldn't continue to back them now.
*
Espanyols 2010 home record reads W-W-D-W-W-D-W-D-W-D-L-W-W-W-W-W (P16, W11, D4, L1). Only Barcelona, Real Madrid, Valencia and Villarreal have a better La Liga home record in 2010. They arnt the highest scorers with just*21 goals in those 16 games but they do have the best home defence with only*6 goals conceded and more home clean sheets than anyone else in Spain with*10 in 16 games. Included in that was a 0-0 draw against Barca, only the 3rd*time in*82 games in the last 2 and a bit*years*that Barca have been shutout in a La Liga game.
*
So far this season*Espanyol are 100% at home with*4 wins out of 4.
*
Malaga*overall are the 3rd worst performing La Liga in 2010 with only 7 wins in 32 games. They have brought in Manuel Pellegrini as new manager so he may bring an improvement but*overall this is just about following Espanyol blindly at home when available at these odds.
*
**
--------------------------------------------
*
*
Date of Game: Sunday*7th November
Game: West Bromwich Albion v*Manchester City*- kick-off 3.00pm
Competition: Premier League
***
Selection:*West Brom*to win
*
Best Prices
3.80 with Expekt
3.76 with 5Dimes, Sportbet
3.75 with*Coral, Eurobet, VictorChandler, StanJames, BetInternet, BetFred, Bet-at-home
3.72 with Pinnacle*
*
Reasoning: Over-achievers vs under-achievers in this one.
*
On the evidence we have seen on the pitch so far there isn't much seperating these two sides. If you look at the*10 games played so far it is remarkable that Man City have only picked up 2 points more than West Brom have. WBA have had by far the tougher*set of games (possibly the toughest set of games any team in the league has had so far) and that they have picked up 15 points is a massive achievement.
*
I appreciate that Man City have by far the stronger squad on paper and the potential for improvement in the next 10 games is far greater*for City but I think you can only go on what has actually happened not what could or should happen in the future and based on what we have seen so far*WBA are huge value in this one.
*
City have already lost at Sunderland and Wolves this season and were fairly fortunate not to lose in 2 of their 3 other away trips at Spurs and Blackpool. Their*complete away record under Mancini is P16, W6, D5, L5 which is poor for a supposed title challenger.
*
West Brom are undefeated at home so far with 3 wins and 2 draws and I think there's value in the home team in this one.
*

 

was the Marquez-Lopez odds?

 

http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/juan-manuel-lopez-v-rafael-marquez/winner

:good

Marquez is WAY overpriced in this one.

Depending on how I get on over the weekend I might shove a lump on Rafa by KO.

 

I'm happy with the 7/2 I got for him outright but if he's going to win you'd have thought it'd be by stoppage. Early Juanma or late Rafa imo (probably go to points now I've said that).

 

:thumbsup.... thank you mr betfred

 

Real Madrid to score in both halves in the Madrid derby 2moro.

evs @ Totesport. (Been really impressed with this firm since joining.)
8/15 at boylesports, varying from 8/13 to 8/11 elsewhere.

 

**** sake.

Went with the Aussies to win by 14.5 or more...... wankers.

I hope they get really bad AIDS this week.

Any thoughts on the Rugby Union internationals lads?

 

Can I get your opinion on something lads?

Was looking through some colege football odds and found that one game had a total first half points market at over/under 13.5. The total under/over for the game was 61 so it was an obvious mistake. (Much similar to the Tony Bellew fight)

I placed a huge bet on this as 13.5 points in one half is obsurd. Via an online chat, I asked if the odds were correct, the women then asked a senior member of staff and confirmed that the bet would be valid. I checked the odds again last night and was going to post it in here but the market had changed to under/over 30.5. After logging into my account, the bet has been voided. I have emailed them but haven't recieved a reply yet.

I took a screen dump of the online chat as proof that they had checked the bet and confirmed that it would stand.

Have I got any rights? Or will they sprout some line from the T&C's saying that they can do anything?

Beeston, I like NZ with a hc of -12

 

If its voided before the event, i think they can do whatever they like...

Pretty horrible as suppose you take what they wrote as gospel then made yourself a arb bet, you're completely ****ed.

I hate all bookies

 

They have just replied saying that it was a mistake. I have responded and included my photographic evidence so will have to wait and see. I fear for the worse but maybe they will honour it.