Definative Super Six Semi final scenarios

Ok based on this official showtime press release, here is what will happen. Home advantage in the semi finals will always go to the top 2 ranked fighters. The tiebreakers are as follows:

Tiebreakers

1) Head-To-Head: If the tied boxers had fought each other, the winner of that bout will be seeded above the other.

2) Knockouts: If the two had NOT fought head-to-head or if they fought to a draw, the boxer with the most tournament KOs/TKOs will be seeded above the other.

3) Scorecards: If they remain tied after the KO/TKO test, then the seeding is determined by the total scorecard points earned by the fighters from each of their Group Stage bouts. The boxer with more scorecard points will be seeded above the other.

Those boxers who win prior to the final bell (via KO/TKO/DQ/Tech Decision, etc.) earn 10 points for each incomplete round. Those who lose earn 8 points in a KO/TKO round and 9 points for each subsiquent round. Glenn Johnson will have inherited Mikkell Kesslers scorcards from the Froch & Abraham fights.

Current round scoring

Ward - 1073
Johnson - 999
Froch - 679 (2 fights)
Abraham - 672 (2 fights)

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Is AA wins by Knockout
Abraham - 6*
Ward - 6
Johnson - 3
Froch - 2

*Abraham ranked 1st by have 2 knockouts. Ward only has one.

Abraham vs Froch 2 in Germany
Ward vs Johnson in Oakland


If AA wins a decision
Ward - 6
Abraham - 5
Johnson - 3
Froch - 2

Ward vs Froch is Oakland
Abraham vs Johnson in Germany


If Froch and AA draw
Ward - 6
Abraham - 4
Johnson - 3*
Froch - 3

*Johnson finished 3rd by have 1 knockout. Froch has none.

Ward vs Froch is Oakland
Abraham vs Johnson in Germany

Now this is where it gets confusing. For Abraham to finish in 4th place behind Johnson, Froch needs to be massivley dominant.

Abraham needs to score 328 points in a loss to Froch to finish 3rd. This means if Arthur Abraham loses 10 of 12 rounds, or loses 8 and gets knocked down twice, and ends up with a score of 110 from the 3 judges, he will still finish in 3rd place.

Froch will need to be completley dominant in victory to avoid a re-match with Abraham. An early Knockout, win every round and score a late KO or win all 12 rounds. This seems extremly unlikley and would be a shock in a 50-50 fights. So....

If Froch wins but its not a complete shut out
Ward - 6
Froch - 4
Abraham - 3*
Johnson 3

*Abraham finishes 3rd due to more scorecard points

Ward vs Johnson in Oakland
Froch vs Abraham 2 in England


Froch wins a shut out over Abraham
Ward - 6
Froch - 4
Johnson - 3*
Abraham - 3

*Johnson finishes 3rd due to more scorecard points

Ward vs Abraham in Oakland
Froch vs Johnson in England

 

Think this would be better especially if Froch vs Abraham is a close fight and a war;

If Froch wins but its not a complete shut out
Ward - 6
Froch - 4
Abraham - 3*
Johnson 3

*Abraham finishes 3rd due to more scorecard points