Pacquiao - Mosley Betting Help

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by FakeBlood, May 6, 2011.

  1. FakeBlood

    FakeBlood CEO @ Fight Club Full Member

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    So I've placed my bet on Pacquiao to stop Shane in the 10th (16/1).

    I can match this with a free bet, as long as the odds are longer than 2/1 - which excludes a Pac UD.

    So what shall I go for?

    I'm thinking:

    Pac RDS 7-9 @ 4/1 .. Incase my 10th RD bet is slightly off.

    Pac RDS 1-3 @ 9/1 .. Odds are OK and I'm *hoping* for something dramatic like this!

    Shane RDS 7-9 @ 33/1 .. As a crazy underdog bet. Year of upsets right? Not sure if these are the best rounds to predict a Mosley T/KO - maybe earlier?

    Opinions welcome.

    Cheers guyyyys.
     
  2. cesare-borgia

    cesare-borgia Übermensch in fieri Full Member

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    pac 7-9, him stopping mosley between the 7-10 round is very realistic. But it can be dangerous, I had big money on pac to stop cotto between rounds 6-11:patsch
     
  3. saul_ir34

    saul_ir34 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Exactly what im thinking.

    7-9 is where im putting my money. Mosley gasses midrounds then Pac steps it up and a ref or corner steps in.
     
  4. FakeBlood

    FakeBlood CEO @ Fight Club Full Member

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    Yeah an 11/12 TKO is probably the biggest threat to a 7-10 bet.

    I think you're right, I'll probably use the freebet on 7-9. Makes more sense to backup your original bet than go for a complete opposite outcome.
     
  5. saul_ir34

    saul_ir34 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    I had some money too on that fight. I had picked Cotto over Pac. I thought Cotto would be able to use his jab to keep Pac off rythm and then catch him coming in with the left hook. The first round reassured me but then he got careless and lost the fight himself.
     
  6. cesare-borgia

    cesare-borgia Übermensch in fieri Full Member

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    I remember the odds on cotto being great as well, it wasnt unlikely to think at that point that he could stop pacquiao who's only 147 fight was dlh at the time. actually ever since the hatton fight the odds on pacquiao opponents are usually pretty good, like now with mosley a mosley ko isnt likely but the chance of it happening is probably bigger than the odss would indicate, so its worth a very small bet, not that im going with it but if someone actually believes mosley can pull it off the odds are pretty good.
     
  7. saul_ir34

    saul_ir34 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    Im placing some small bets on Mosley KO 3-4 then the rest on Pac Ko 7-9
     
  8. finalfight

    finalfight Boxing Addict Full Member

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    You backed the wrong horse.
     
  9. FakeBlood

    FakeBlood CEO @ Fight Club Full Member

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    Bold statement dude! What's your prediction?
     
  10. cesare-borgia

    cesare-borgia Übermensch in fieri Full Member

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    yeah thats pretty realistic, im going with pac via ko, I had good odds (2) a month ago so im sticking with it, I hope it works out.
     
  11. Leonit

    Leonit Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    IF its Pac via ko it should be late. Mosley has the chin and the smarts to last until the latter rounds. For me Pac UD is the most probable result with Pac via KO 10-12 being the second best
     
  12. Dizzle

    Dizzle Active Member Full Member

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    I'd be surprised if Pac stops him to be honest. Only one stoppage above light welter and that was Oscar! Pac UD seems a decent bet. Might be worth a cheeky bet on Pac getting knocked down? I can see shane causing him trouble in the early rounds.
     
  13. PH|LLA

    PH|LLA VIP Member Full Member

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    what about Cotto
     
  14. Dizzle

    Dizzle Active Member Full Member

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    Oh yeah! Either way I'd be surprised if he stops Mosley. can't imagine Mosley being TKO'd like Cotto or Oscar. I'm not sure though just think the odds should be alot longer than they are for the stoppage.
     
  15. Jetmax

    Jetmax Boxing Addict Full Member

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    I actually don't think Pacquiao can stop Shane but if he can it will be early. Manny won't have a problem landing with Shane early so if Shane can hold up against Manny's shots he will last the full 12 rounds, otherwise early stoppage. Manny ain't big on stopping big mentally tough ww.