I was surprised to see that Adamek is considered as a betting favorite. I doubt that Adamek can handle Arreollas punching power and size, so 2,16 is good enough odds for me to bet for Arreollas win. I think Kesler is past it and his style suits better to Froch than Dirrels running did. I see Froch stopping Kesler so 2,35 for froch victory is good enough odds for me. So I will bet Chris Arreola 2,16 * vs. Tomas Adamek Carl Froch 2,35 * vs. Mikkel Kesler
Yep, held off long enough and Adamek's odds dropped to +105. So, I got Adamek +105 Froch +150 Angulo -500 Beltran Jr. -250 I'm not expecting to win, but if I do big bucks.
I had 20 to win on Kessler I don't know how I missed placing it here but it collected already. Still a slightly losing week over all. calculation 3.33 Win Munroe Wins -10.5 Loss Arreolla loses to Adamek -5 Loss Julio loses to Angulo -5 Loss Kessler does not KO Froch 13.33 Win Kessler wins
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^ Any1 know about this, or has it already been posted earlier in the thread? Here are my vCash bets for "Who R U Picking?": Floyd Mayweather by Decision 8/13 (0.62) Hedged with: Shane Mosley by KO TKO 7/1 (7.00) If Floyd KOs Shane or if Shane decisions Floyd, my vCash is ****ed. But, how likely is that, right?
well, i think a shane decision is more likely than a shane KO - your not going to KO mayweather and shane mosley has the work rate to win some rounds - in addition he doesn't gas like Oscar so it should be competitive in the late rounds
Keyword: *HEDGE*. I'm not saying a Shane KO is more likely than a Shane decision over Mayweather (as the given odds clearly indicate). But thanks for saving the day on that point of detail, Capt. Obvious. I'm saying the odds (7/1) make it a more sensible hedge (look it up; it's a type of contrarian play), given the odds of a Mayweather decision win. :tired:dead:zzz
do you think mosley will win by knockout? if you don't, then don't bet on it. my betting is always bet on who i feel will win regardless of the odds (unless they're too pathetic) otherwise all you're doing is going against your boxing knowledge and going just by odds alone. basically you're giving your money away if you know your boxing.
My main bet is on Mayweather by decision. I'm not going to explain contrarian hedging to the plethora of simps on ESB. :good
You need to grow a brain you moron. The way to hedge a bet is to bet on the most likely outcome for Shane. Whats the point of 'hedging' your money on a shane KO when there is no god damn chance of it happening. I am getting 7/1 odds on a Shane decision... i am taking those as my hedge because if Mayweather doesn't win a decision it will be because Mosley has won the decision. are we understanding yet? No? Didn't think so... oh well, waste your life... your reasoning was so stupid its unbelievable
Point the "stupid finger" at yourself. I've already addressed the only 2 outcomes that will give me a net loss. Single bet, all-or-nothing-ass simps.
You see... this kind of reasoning i can understand... the hedge is pointless if you don't even think there is a likely chance of it happening. Means if you lose your primary bet, you will most likely lose your secondary bet as well. I love the way this dude is talking about other people being simple when he is the one wasting anything on a shane KO A good technique to betting is to eliminate possibilities... and Shane KO, Mayweather KO can safely be eliminated here leaving Mosley decision as your hedge if you like Mayweather by decision
****inghell. **** all this hedging. boxing is the easiest sport in the world to bet on, it's not ****ing hard if you know how styles makes fights, and not the hype. if i find a fight to hard to predict, then i skip the betting. simple. fights like dirrell against abraham, martinez against pavlik, i go full steam ahead with reasonable money. underdogs that should be favourites in my opinion due to styles and tools, and then i gamble with full confidence in my knowledge.
So why leave an open ended question to the forum you half wit. Your getting dumber by the minute... if its an all or nothing bet, then why hedge it... its clearly not an all or nothing bet is it because then you would bet ALL your money on one outcome