Just checked Oddschecker and the best odds there are 16/1 the worst 33/1. So it's pretty clear Ruiz Jr is a big underdog. Fight on short notice, obese, only 6'2", best win probably Dimitrenko or Kevin Johnson, this is a mismatch, but then so was the original fight.
I give him around a 35% chance. I think people are underrating him here. I will not be the least hit surprised if he gives AJ some hard work and some shaky moments in a round or two. In fact... not sure Ill even be suprised if he wins. That being said... obviously, AJ should win this if he fights smart. AJ KO 8 will be my official pick... but I expect this to not be as easy as many seem to think it will. Blows my mind people actually think Miller is a better fighter and was a better matchup than this. Ruiz would make Miller quit on his stool.
AJ will land too many punches before Rd 8 he is a far better combo puncher than Ruiz and will win evey round easily.
10-1 were Khan`s odds weren`t they? Or was Bud 10-1 on? Are those diffeent odds? Khan P4P is miles above Ruiz and even though AJ is no Bud Ruiz is a very badly conditioned fighter, I don`t even know if he really trains that much, mis-match.
Wilder Fury and Joshua aren’t going to lose to anyone apart from one another. Any fight these are involved in except against each other is a mismatch. It’s boring.
Ruiz`s body looks woeful, I can`t believe he trained much for his last fight there was too much fat on his body. I got booted for nationalistic trolling after saying something about British fans and the Khan disgrace, but I`m British anyway.
I assume you're basing that on how Ruiz Jr did vs Parker. Personally I think that performance really flattered Ruiz Jr. Parker at the time was stepping up from the dregs most prospects feast on and discovering that his power at the higher level wasn't as impressive as initially thought. He first learned that vs Takam and Ruiz Jr was another that showed Parker's original style wasn't going to work as he started to face higher level opposition. I think Parker was literally learning in the ring that night that his usual style wasn't going to work and was adapting on the fly to use a style with more movement and he couldn't just throw and stand there to be countered. Ruiz Jr was facing a Parker that was vulnerable and caught between styles and still couldn't beat him and I for one had Parker a clear winner in a close fight. If they fought again I think Parker would beat him far more convincingly, his head movement is better, he is more measured in his approach and will be better prepared for how Ruiz will fight him. Ruiz in contrast does nothing different and will likely show up heavier too based on recent performances. As I said that fight flattered Ruiz Jr's ability because of Parker's style issues. Ruiz Jr isn't as good as that fight suggested.