Wilder has zero chance against Usyk. Wilder is a dumb fighter who crushes cans. Usyk is a genius fighter who isn't a can. Usyk probably KO's Wilder on volume alone, or he wins every round.
I'd love to see Usyk beat Wilder onto the canvas, but it's always a dangerous fight with Wilder. Usyk doesn't have good stopping power generally speaking so Wilder will stick around and be a threat, maybe for 12 rounds.
Usyk has no punching power and getting a decision against Wilder is a dangerous thing. Wilder could obviously win this fight. This fight won't happen anyway.
This would be a great fight for many reasons. I even think it's the HW No.2 fight right now. Wilder is too inactive, and if he ends his career, if only he lost to Fury, he will remain an unknown and the subject of speculation for decades. With this win, Usyk can enter the greatness (already ATG, but IMO not yet HW ATG). And for Wilder, this victory would be by far the best, and then no one would be able to challenge his resume with arguments. 50:50 Usyk must box the entire fight perfectly, or until he wins by knockout. One moment of inattention by Usyk is enough for Wilder.
Wilder deals with Usyk easier than Fury due to natural power and speed. Wilder KO in 6,7,8,9 or 10. Fury gets a UD or TKO 10,11,12 against Usyk. Fury just lacks a little too much in the power department to easily dispatch of Usyk and Usyk's feet are just a little too good early doors to allow Fury to wear him down physically.
Wilder doesn't do the one thing that might allow him to win. Against Usyk, he'd want to throw that right hand to the body. What he does do is just throw 1 or 2 jabs and launch his right hand to the head. Usyk isn't going to lose against a crude slugger.
Quite so... To win, you first have to take the fight, and he wouldn't have the balls. But beyond that you're absolutely right - he's far too crude and telegraphed to land anywhere near full power on an elite ring IQ fighter like Usyk... And if he can't land full power he's not going to get a KO and so can't possibly win, because he'd be lucky to take a single round on a single card on points. He can't win, he knows it, he wouldn't even try.