Of course he's the underdog...but he's still young, fast n strong...and can bang very hard! So surely he's a live contender? Or his he just an easy handpicked easy win for Floyd? So ortiz chances are in your mind what? 10%?? 20% 50% 60% ? What?? And who do you want to win please also state that!
The longer the fight goes, the lesser the chance. If he doesn't touch Floyd early he will get more and more frustrated each round. My best guess is he has to get Floyd out of there early, he stands no chance of winning by decision it seems to me.