I think Dawson has the potential to beat Hopkins but sadly his heart seems to break in fights and you know Hopkins is going to capatalise on that and not allow him to recover. Hopkins by 3-4 rounds UD
Like I said been watching a lot of Dawson lately, in particular the fights he had a few years ago. Also, I watched Dwyer vid and he cinvinced me further with his punchstats for these two fighters. I'm one of dwyers biggest critics, but he made some very good points backed up with statistical evidance that suggests Dawson ain't the slouch he's made out to be. He has in the past had very good work rate, an excellent jab and stamina to back it up.
Dawson PTS. I don't think he needs a huge punch output to win this. He just needs to do more than B-Hop. I think his combos will get enough rounds to pinch it.
It's an impossible sure fire choice. If Hopkins was the favourite I'd back Chad with money, but I'm surprised to see Dawson with the shorter odds.
Taken from this thread. http://www.eastsideboxing.com/forum/showthread.php?t=349296&page=6 Ok.......... My heart says Bernard Hopkins, but my head says Chad Dawson. I will pick Chad Dawson to win. Which is a totally uncharistic thing for me to do, most of the time. Earlier on today, i was walking through liverpool city centre. And i stumbled into Ladbrokes betting shop. And i place a heavy bet on Degale, Bellew, Hopkins, and then Lewis Hamilton...... To all win in a accumulator, these are all heart over logic bets. And guess what..? I've lost already. I think i'm wrong because i just love the fantasy, and my heart rules my logic. Logically thinking, i believe most people deep down. Fear that this could be a easy win for Chad Dawson, allot of people have gone very quiet including allot of Hopkins fans in the British forum. I just believe that Chad Dawson, has always waited for this moment. Nobody has ever given him respect, people underrate his talent, his ability. And his career achievements, even in his bad performances! Well so called bad performances one thing stands out. "Chad Dawson always, always comes to fight, he still wins" Bernard Hopkins always states that he looks at a fighters records before fights, and desides weather they have the creditbility. One fighter stands out on Chad Dawson's record, and that fighter is Antonio Tarvar. No matter what people want to say here, Chad Dawson beat a by far better version of Antonio Tarver than Bernard Hopkins, "Twice". Antonio Tarver was in possibly the worst shape of his career vs Bernard Hopkins. Which was his own fault and thats part of the competition, the preperation for a fight. Antonio Tarver was visibly not as toned, and looked to be carrying excess body fat, and this probably affected his making weight, and due to the immense effort to make weight. "He was visibly drained, and dramatically zapped in the ring all them years ago against Hopkins" [ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nWmZ7v-aJsQ[/ame] Now look at Antonio Tarvers body and conditioning against Chad Dawson!!! [ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OuIsmKetm3k[/ame] And yes Antonio Tarver was competitive against Chad Dawson. But he was beaten, and beaten good and Antonio Tarver knew this, and has admitted this years later. "I turned up against Chad Dawson and he beat me twice" Antonio Tarvar. Antonio Tarver picking Chad Dawson, in-depth explanation. http://uk.eurosport.yahoo.com/14102011/58/tarver-uniquely-suited-call-hopkins-dawson.html The reason why i picked Antonia Tarver out......is because he is in the higher bracket of ring smarts, and skill level. After all thats the reason why he is also 42/43 years of age, and also a CW world Champion. People seem to think coming into Dawson vs Hopkins, that Bernard Hopkins is some how going to expose something within Chad Dawson. That kind of talk is just talk, its a thing people have gotten used to saying........When they come to talk about Bernard Hopkins, its something you say..."When you don't really know whats going to happen" Its like people are just kind of following a crowd, and a way of acting and speaking, like a FAD. And people need to give me credit, for being one of very few people. Who question the majority, question the normal way of thinking. I bring balance, even when i know I'm wrong, because i know......"Its vital" Like most people will say one thing, but don't really believe it. Only somebody like "THE UZI" or TEETO on this British forum, i believe are one of very few people who says things with bullet proof conviction. Ok so i pick Chad Dawson, but remember. I walked into a betting shop today and betted on Bernard Hopkins, i will be happy sort of if Bernad Hopkins wins. But i feel that it is the end.............. Something what stuck out to me was the weigh in, Hopkins was trying his best to intimidate Dawson. Not the baddest of guys, but he almost patronised Hopkins attempts. For a guy like Hopkins to lose that affect, to such a nice guy in Chad Dawson was kind of sad to watch. [ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GIaIKMRAX60[/ame] In final: I feel that Hopkins is going out on his shield tonight, i feel it will be one of his best performances as a man, not boxer, not fighter, but man tonight. And deep down, i feel that Hopkins has prepared for this moment. This fight for me is showing shades of Chris Eubank vs Michael Watson II. In the sense that Chris Eubank knew afew rounds into that fight, that he could not out box Watson, out think him, or out slug him. At that point some fighters run, some fighters grab and hold, but some decide to go out. "Fighting for every second, determined to walk out of that ring a man of honour" Funny that this topic is called, Honouring Bernard Hopkins. Tonight i feel its his time, to walk out a "Man of Honour".......... Its is time guys! its his time!! In the past Hopkins may have held on, spoiled the fight, bitched and moaned, when he knew he was going to be beaten. "Like he did against Joe Calzaghe" But that was only because, he didn't want to go..... Tonight its his time to go!!! Thank You, and enjoy the fight tonight. "I will be moved to tears, if Bernard Hopkins could win"