Betting help? Maidana alexander - NO LOSS???

Discussion in 'World Boxing Forum' started by miniq, Feb 25, 2012.


  1. miniq

    miniq AJ IS A BODYBUILDING BUM Full Member

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    Maidana vs Alexander


    Maidana KO £10 BET
    Maidana DEC £10 (free)
    Alexander DEC £10 BET

    total bet: £20
    (£10 free bet)

    Maidana KO win = £40 win
    Maidana DEC win = £55 win
    Alexander DEC = £ 27.50 win

    So...
    max loss: 0 (No way will alexander win by TKO or KO considering)
    Min win: £7.50
    med win: £20 (40-30)
    Max win: £35 (55-30)

    correct? First time betting also. Don't beat me for possibly not understanding everything correctly.

    Bets also havn't been placed yet.

    So if I make this bet it is legal and all fine? because ALEXANDER WILL NOT WIN BY KO/TKO, making NO LOSSES.???
     
  2. Боксёр

    Боксёр Boxing Addict Full Member

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    Considering you are betting on the method of victory you would lose on a draw and Alexander stoppage (cut,TKO,KO or DQ)
     
  3. HawkFan16

    HawkFan16 Unshot/In My Prime Full Member

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    Maidana TKO or Alexander Decision. Alexander WILL NOT lose a decision in St. Louis. He's Sturm and St. Louis is Germany basically.
     
  4. miniq

    miniq AJ IS A BODYBUILDING BUM Full Member

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    No I thought this BUT

    Alexander will not get a stoppage, no chance.

    Since only £20 has been spent

    and you win £27.50 on Alexander decision
    then its still a £7.50 win... right?

    Total bet £20, with a free £10 bet...
     
  5. PH|LLA

    PH|LLA VIP Member Full Member

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    what if it's a draw
     
  6. Eastcoast

    Eastcoast Boxing Addict Full Member

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    I'm not so sure anymore. Before, those were Don King shows, now it's a Golden Boy show. Maidana probably has more marketability than Alexander, so there's not much incentive for them to skew things in favor of Alexander.
     
  7. KMSTAR

    KMSTAR Member Full Member

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    First off the payout on the most likely outcome per the sportsbooks does not make sense (Alexander DEC).

    Pay on the favorite would not be 27 pounds on a 10 pound wager by any measure that I can think of (unless in the UK Maidana is the favorite?)

    Also, I don't understand your Med/Max wins - where are you getting this from. You have 3 specific outcomes you are betting on. Only one (or none) of them can actually happen and pay you.
     
  8. KO-KING

    KO-KING Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    maidana by points
     
  9. KMSTAR

    KMSTAR Member Full Member

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    The only way those Min/Med/Max payouts would make sense is if you weighted the bets i.e. 100 pounds on the most likely odds, 25 pounds on the least likely odds, etc. or if you were betting Favorite Fighter A by KO (moderate bet), Favorite Fighter A to win by any means (heavy bet), Underdog Fighter B to pull off the upset (light/medium bet with big upside minimized by any risk since you've got bets on the favorite).
     
  10. slugger3000

    slugger3000 You Mad Bro? Full Member

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    If I were you id put a value bet on Maidana by KO! Maidana wont get a decision tonight, trust me!
     
  11. miniq

    miniq AJ IS A BODYBUILDING BUM Full Member

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    KMstar your right...

    Alexander DEC £10 bet is only £18 win not £27.50.

    Sorry I messed up the math....

    Ive been putting together lots of combinations of bets trying to work out best return for minimum loss.

    ...
     
  12. saul_ir34

    saul_ir34 Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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    I really like this fight because it really can go any way. I would not rule out Alexander stopping Maidana. He can be sneaky and Maidana does have a habit of neglecting defense at times.
     
  13. KO-KING

    KO-KING Boxing Junkie Full Member

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    cleverly inside 12
    povetkin outright
    broner outright
    maidana outright

    100 = 500+
     
  14. FIGHTlover

    FIGHTlover Member Full Member

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    alexander fights like hes in the olympics still.no power and all arm punchs.madiana gonna cave him in just like tim did.
     
  15. floyd_g.o.a.t

    floyd_g.o.a.t Obsessed with Boxing Full Member

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