Yeah I think it's weak this year and it's why I think Long Run is a very good bet. Kauto Star has beaten him twice over 3m on flat fast tracks, the extra 2.5f and hill will come into full effect. If Kauto does not run they will probably let Grands Crus take it's chance, It didn't beat much last time out (although easily won) and I have a doubt about it's stamina over the gold cup trip. I can't see anything else in the race troubling it, Midnight Chase might be worth an E/way shout but barring a terrible mistake I can't see past it. On the drift to 7/4 at paddy power now, almost time to row back in!
Yeah your right, I don't see kauto troubling long run, didn't do it last year as an 11 year old will mostly not do it this year. Midnight Chase is the ew I have my eye on. That and medermit, if it runs..only small interest, this is far from the race of the week.
Midnight Chase loves the course and has a good place chance, Medermit I would have as a doubtful stayer but it's weak race outside the fav so could do a job at a decent price. Not got many fancies so far, Long Run, Vendor & Sir Des Champs looking like my bets. Will wait to see how the other races cut up. If the Fly is 10/11 or better(not bloody likely!) I might jump on that.
I have 50 on hurricane at 7-4 since before Christmas. In hindsight I should of put 100 on, but anything could of happened the horse between then and now..
Juanma is risky? No **** imbecile...he lost the ****ing first fight. You don't need to tell anyone its 'risky' based on that, ****ing hell... Its up to them whether they consider that value, whether Juanma will take this one really serious and if he does whether this is easily winnable or not. It's not too bad in my opinion all things considered, especially at 8/13. Based on reports I've heard on Ormond 2/1 seems good. Might bet both of these.
That Juanma bet looks excellent value ... He got a little complacent going into the last fight and he knows his stock will fall badly with another loss . 8/13 looks a cracking bet as cant see him slipping up again ... :good